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Tonyzhai · 2022年04月10日

不应该是基于过去签的合同来计算吗?为什么答案是基于Today的bid-offer来计算今天的流出金额?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201601050100001501

问题如下:

Determine which type of hedge instrument combination is most appropriate for Rivera’s situation. Justify your selection.


选项:

解释:


The hedge instrument combination most appropriate for Rivera’s portfolio is a dynamic forward hedge for the reasons noted below.

First, a dynamic hedge is most appropriate here. A static hedge (i.e., unchanging hedge) will avoid transaction costs but will also tend to accumulate unwanted currency exposures as the value of the foreign-currency assets change. This characteristic will cause a mismatch between the market value of the foreigncurrency asset portfolio and the nominal size of the forward contract used for the currency hedge; this is pure currency risk. Given this potential mismatch and because both Rivera and Delgado are risk averse, Delgado should implement a dynamic hedge by rebalancing the portfolio at least on a monthly basis.

Delgado must assess the cost–benefit trade-offs of how frequently to dynamically rebalance the hedge. This depends on a variety of factors (manager risk aversion, market view, IPS guidelines). The higher the degree of risk aversion, the more frequently the hedge is likely to be rebalanced back to the “neutral” hedge ratio.

A forward contract is more suitable because in comparison to a futures contract, a forward contract is more flexible in terms of currency pair, settlement date, and transaction amount. Forward contracts are also simpler than futures contracts from an administrative standpoint owing to the absence of margin requirements, reducing portfolio management expense. Finally, forward contracts are more liquid than futures for trading in large sizes because the daily trade volume for OTC currency forward contracts dwarfs those for exchange-traded futures contracts.

中文解析:

最适合Rivera投资组合的对冲工具组合是动态远期对冲,原因如下:

首先,这里最适合使用动态对冲。静态对冲虽然成本低,也会随着外币资产价值的变化而累积不必要的货币风险。这一特征将导致外国货币资产组合的市场价值与用于货币对冲的远期合约的名义规模之间产生错配,也就是货币风险。因此Delgado应该实施动态对冲,至少每月重新平衡投资组合。

Delgado必须评估如何频繁地动态调整对冲的成本效益。这取决于多种因素(经理人风险厌恶、市场观点、IPS指导方针)。风险厌恶程度越高,对冲就越有可能频繁地重新平衡至中性对冲比率。

远期合约更合适,因为与期货合约相比,远期合约在货币组合、结算日期和交易金额方面更灵活。从管理的角度来看,远期合同也比期货合同简单,因为没有保证金要求,减少了投资组合管理费用。最后,在大规模交易中,远期合约的流动性比期货合约更强,因为场外外汇远期合约的日交易量超过了交易所交易的期货合约。

老师,既然portfolio was perfectly hedged,那不是过去已经基于2.5m 0.8913/0.8914加上25/30个basis point签约的吗?

那此时不应该按照之前签约的进行平仓吗?即2.5m*(0.8913+0.0025)来计算吗?

但是我看答案是基于Today的bid-offer来计算流出的,为什么呢?



2 个答案
已采纳答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年04月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好

同学的疑惑我明白哈,在现在这个时刻,原来签订的合约也会发生交割,使用的汇率是一个月前约定好的汇率,这一点理解完全正确。但是因为我们的投资期限没有到,所以我们不能现在就把我们的美元资产交割出去,也就是说不能简单的就让原来的合约到期交割结束了,所以我们要在现货市场去买美元,用买来的美元对原来的远期合约进行交割,而不真正使用我们的美元资产进行交割,这也就有了现货品仓和再开新合约的后续操作。

其实这也是这道题目的bug,何老师在讲解这道课后题的时候也有提到,我刚才没有说这个问题,是想同学如果没有注意到这个问题,其实对于解答这道题目是最好的,因为这道题目本身问题和解析中的处理方法并不严谨。

其实按理说在现在这个时刻,发生的现金流其实是原来合约也就是同学说的一个月前签订的合约,这个合约产生的现金流(以欧元计价),然后和现货市场平仓产生的现金流(当然也是以欧元计价),二者作差才是真正的在此时此刻发生的现金流。

之所以说这道题目存在bug,是因为答案解析中完全忽略了原来的远期合约,直接就分为了现货平仓和新签合约,这两步产生的现金流问题,而且向上面提到的新签合约还忽略了折现问题。所以我们就把这道题目我们就不必纠结,只要明白它想问的是这样两步,然后按照它的意思来即可哈。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年04月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好~

同学问的应该是该题干下的第二问,问题为: Calculate the net cash flow (in euros) to maintain the desired hedge. Show your calculations哈

首先对冲的动作是发生在一个月前的,即在一个月钱签订了远期合约,锁定了汇率。此时问的是滚仓过程产生的现金流,滚仓意味着先把一个月前的合约平仓平掉,然后新开一个远期合约。

1.     第一步中的平仓掉原来的合约是在现货市场平仓,因此使用的肯定是现在的即期汇率,而不应该是一个月前的汇率哈。

2.     第二步中新开的远期合约因为锁定的是新的一个月后的汇率,所以对应使用的是在现在即期汇率的基础上加上forward point,即对应表格第三列第四行的数据。

3.     另外需要注意,本题也有不严谨之处,因为新签的远期合约真实发生现金流是在合约到期的时候,即一个月后,即收到2.357175million的欧元是在一个月后(因为远期合约的特点是0时刻签约,T时刻交割),所以应该把这笔现金流折现1个月到现在才对。

这是这道题简化处理的地方,这里就直接省略了折现的过程,就模糊的认为这笔现金流也是发生在现在时刻,所以收到的欧元和付出去的欧元抵消后就是所求了

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

Tonyzhai · 2022年04月11日

感谢老师的回答! 我追问一个问题哈 您提到 “1. 第一步中的平仓掉原来的合约是在现货市场平仓,因此使用的肯定是现在的即期汇率,而不应该是一个月前的汇率哈。” ————我的意思,他不是应该按一个月前所签约的汇率进行结算吗(那浅的合同还有什么意义呢)?为什么会用今天实际的汇率结算呢? 谢谢哈!

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2023-12-03 06:59 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201601050100001501 问题如下 termine whitype of hee instrument combination is most appropriate for Rivera’s situation. Justify your selection. The hee instrument combination most appropriate for Rivera’s portfolio is a namic forwarhee for the reasons notebelow.First, a namic hee is most appropriate here. A static hee (i.e., unchanging hee) will avoitransaction costs but will also tento accumulate unwantecurrenexposures the value of the foreign-currenassets change. This characteristic will cause a mismatbetween the market value of the foreigncurrenasset portfolio anthe nominsize of the forwarcontrausefor the currenhee; this is pure currenrisk. Given this potentimismatanbecause both Rivera anlga are risk averse, lga shoulimplement a namic hee rebalancing the portfolio least on a monthly basis.lga must assess the cost–benefit tra-offs of how frequently to namically rebalanthe hee. This pen on a variety of factors (manager risk aversion, market view, IPS guilines). The higher the gree of risk aversion, the more frequently the hee is likely to rebalancebato the “neutral” hee ratio.A forwarcontrais more suitable because in comparison to a futures contract, a forwarcontrais more flexible in terms of currenpair, settlement te, antransaction amount. Forwarcontracts are also simpler thfutures contracts from ainistrative stanoint owing to the absenof margin requirements, recing portfolio management expense. Finally, forwarcontracts are more liquithfutures for trang in large sizes because the ily tra volume for OTC currenforwarcontracts arfs those for exchange-trafutures contracts.中文解析最适合Rivera投资组合的对冲工具组合是动态远期对冲,原因如下首先,这里最适合使用动态对冲。静态对冲虽然成本低,也会随着外币资产价值的变化而累积不必要的货币风险。这一特征将导致外国货币资产组合的市场价值与用于货币对冲的远期合约的名义规模之间产生错配,也就是货币风险。因此lga应该实施动态对冲,至少每月重新平衡投资组合。lga必须评估如何频繁地动态调整对冲的成本效益。这取决于多种因素(经理人风险厌恶、市场观点、IPS指导方针)。风险厌恶程度越高,对冲就越有可能频繁地重新平衡至“中性”对冲比率。远期合约更合适,因为与期货合约相比,远期合约在货币组合、结算日期和交易金额方面更灵活。从管理的角度来看,远期合同也比期货合同简单,因为没有保证金要求,减少了投资组合管理费用。最后,在大规模交易中,远期合约的流动性比期货合约更强,因为场外外汇远期合约的日交易量超过了交易所交易的期货合约。 如题。

2023-06-25 17:54 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201601050100001501 问题如下 termine whitype of hee instrument combination is most appropriate for Rivera’s situation. Justify your selection. The hee instrument combination most appropriate for Rivera’s portfolio is a namic forwarhee for the reasons notebelow.First, a namic hee is most appropriate here. A static hee (i.e., unchanging hee) will avoitransaction costs but will also tento accumulate unwantecurrenexposures the value of the foreign-currenassets change. This characteristic will cause a mismatbetween the market value of the foreigncurrenasset portfolio anthe nominsize of the forwarcontrausefor the currenhee; this is pure currenrisk. Given this potentimismatanbecause both Rivera anlga are risk averse, lga shoulimplement a namic hee rebalancing the portfolio least on a monthly basis.lga must assess the cost–benefit tra-offs of how frequently to namically rebalanthe hee. This pen on a variety of factors (manager risk aversion, market view, IPS guilines). The higher the gree of risk aversion, the more frequently the hee is likely to rebalancebato the “neutral” hee ratio.A forwarcontrais more suitable because in comparison to a futures contract, a forwarcontrais more flexible in terms of currenpair, settlement te, antransaction amount. Forwarcontracts are also simpler thfutures contracts from ainistrative stanoint owing to the absenof margin requirements, recing portfolio management expense. Finally, forwarcontracts are more liquithfutures for trang in large sizes because the ily tra volume for OTC currenforwarcontracts arfs those for exchange-trafutures contracts.中文解析最适合Rivera投资组合的对冲工具组合是动态远期对冲,原因如下首先,这里最适合使用动态对冲。静态对冲虽然成本低,也会随着外币资产价值的变化而累积不必要的货币风险。这一特征将导致外国货币资产组合的市场价值与用于货币对冲的远期合约的名义规模之间产生错配,也就是货币风险。因此lga应该实施动态对冲,至少每月重新平衡投资组合。lga必须评估如何频繁地动态调整对冲的成本效益。这取决于多种因素(经理人风险厌恶、市场观点、IPS指导方针)。风险厌恶程度越高,对冲就越有可能频繁地重新平衡至“中性”对冲比率。远期合约更合适,因为与期货合约相比,远期合约在货币组合、结算日期和交易金额方面更灵活。从管理的角度来看,远期合同也比期货合同简单,因为没有保证金要求,减少了投资组合管理费用。最后,在大规模交易中,远期合约的流动性比期货合约更强,因为场外外汇远期合约的日交易量超过了交易所交易的期货合约。 namic forwaris the most suitable for Rivera’s situation.static hee maccumulate unsirable currenexposure,whiis not suitable for RiverRivera is risk averse, namic hee helps to recurrenexposure closet to actuposition.forwaruseto hee currenexposure is more liquithfutures anccustomized

2023-05-18 13:09 1 · 回答