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yewei1989 · 2022年04月03日

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NO.PZ202112010200002902

问题如下:

Which of the following is the most appropriate credit portfoliopositioning strategy to capitalize on an expected economic contraction?

选项:

A.

Buy protection on the 5-year CDX HY index and sell protection onthe 5-year CDX IG index in approximately equal notional amounts.

B.

Buy protection on the 10-year CDX IG index and sell protection on the 5-year CDX IG index using a contract with a notional amount equal to 1.82 times that of the 10-year contract.

C.

Buy protection on the 10-year CDX HY index and sell protection on the 5-year CDX HY index using a contract with a notional amount equal to 1.85 times that of the 10-year contract.

解释:

A is correct. Because an economic contraction is oftenassociated with a sharp rise in shorter-term high-yield spreads and spread curveflattening in investment grade and inversion in high yield, the mostappropriate choice is to take a short risk(purchase protection) in five-year high-yield spreads and a long position (sellprotection) in five-year investment-grade spreads.

Answers B and C position the investor to benefit from a steeperinvestment-grade and high-yield spread curve,respectively.

在经济危机时,信用利差不是整体向上的嘛?为啥b和c选项不对呢?

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2022年04月04日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


对呀,信用利差整体上升,那么C选项的sell protection on the 5 year CDX HY index就不对了呀,应该Buy才对。

经济危机时,整体利差在变大,从避险的角度来考虑,大家都买IG,卖HYB,所以IG的利差相对HYB在缩小,故sell CDX IG index,buy CDX HYB index,才是利润最大化的方法。

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