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dognmnm · 2022年03月31日

spread risk的假设

NO.PZ2019103001000017

问题如下:

Soto explains to Hudgens that the underlying duration-matching strategy is based on the following three assumptions.

1. Yield curve shifts in the future will be parallel.

2. Bond types and quality will closely match those of the liabilities.

3. The portfolio will be rebalanced by buying or selling bonds rather than using derivatives.

Soto’s three assumptions regarding the duration-matching strategy indicate the presence of:

选项:

A.

model risk.

B.

spread risk.

C.

counterparty credit risk.

解释:

A is correct.

Soto believes that any shift in the yield curve will be parallel. Model risk arises whenever assumptions are made about future events and approximations are used to measure key parameters. The risk is that those assumptions turn out to be wrong and the approximations are inaccurate. A non-parallel yield curve shift could occur, resulting in a mismatch of the duration of the immunizing portfolio versus the liability.

这个题目可以从头解释一下吗? 我理解三个假设就是可以解决spread risk的问题不是吗?

2 个答案

pzqa015 · 2022年04月02日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


与事实相符

比如负债正常是公司负债,那么资产端也配置类似的公司债,这样就没有spread risk了。

只不过实务中我们一般用国债,因为国债的流动性更好,用国债就有spread risk了。

所以,是可以避免spread risk的。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

pzqa015 · 2022年03月31日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


The portfolio will be rebalanced by buying or selling bonds rather than using derivatives。derivative一般是OTC交易,会有counterparty risk,所以不用derivative交易,而是直接买卖债券,没有counterparty risk。

Bond types and quality will closely match those of the liabilities.spread risk是指免疫过程中负债性质与所用资产性质不一样,导致收益率基准利率变动,负债与资产的折现率变动不一致,进而负债与资产的value变化不一致,从而导致免疫失败的风险。既然说了资产类型与负债类型一样,那么就不存在spread risk。

 Yield curve shifts in the future will be parallel. 假设收益率曲线平行移动与事实不符,收益率曲线大约10%左右的变动是非平行移动,所以,这样假设隐含着model risk。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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NO.PZ2019103001000017 解答里面的那个非常长的答案根本看不懂在说些什么。

2021-10-01 06:06 1 · 回答

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2021-03-23 09:48 1 · 回答

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2020-03-01 02:27 1 · 回答