NO.PZ2018111501000005
问题如下:
The active currency approach that assumes the real exchange rate will converge to its "fair value" in the long run is:
选项:
A.economic fundamental
B.technical analysis
C.carry trade
解释:
A is correct.
考点: active currency management的方法
解析:四种方法分别是economic fundamental, technical analysis, carry trade, volatility trading。其中,economic fundamental的方法的核心思想是"均值复归",也就是说从长期来看实际汇率会回归于"fair value",而短期内如果当前汇率高于长期均衡水平,该币种未来就会贬值,如果当前汇率低于长期均衡水平,该币种未来就会升值。
老师,我记得这块有主观题用到了技术分析会促使投资人相信oversold或overbought的货币未来会贬值或升值,这与均值回归不是一个道理吗?