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zoewong · 2022年03月23日

请问p/1-p=3/1 怎么算出来p=3/4?

NO.PZ2021062201000002

问题如下:

After six months, the growth portfolio that Rayan Khan manages has outperformed its benchmark. Khan states that his odds of beating the benchmark for the year are 3 to 1. If these odds are correct, what is the probability that Khan's portfolio will beat the benchmark for the year?

选项:

A.

0.33

B.

0.67

C.

0.75

解释:

C is correct.

The odds for beating the benchmark = P(beating benchmark) / [1-P(beating benchmark)].

Let P(A) = P(beating benchmark). Odds for beating the benchmark =P(A) / [1-P(A)]

3/1=P(A) / [1-P(A)]

Solving for P(A), the probability of beating the benchmark is 0.75.

知识点:Probability Concepts

可以说一下详细的步骤吗

1 个答案
已采纳答案

星星_品职助教 · 2022年03月23日

同学你好,

根据“Odds for”的公式得到P(A) / [1-P(A)] = 3/1后,直接解方程即可。

移项后相当于P=3(1-P),即4P=3,解得P=3/4.