开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

· 2022年03月14日

我这么算对吗?

NO.PZ2015120604000168

问题如下:

You are building models for forecasting earnings per share of two construction companies, A and B. The probability that Company A's EPS will increase at the end of year is 0.45. The probability that Company B's EPS will increase at the end of year is 0.25. The probability that two companies' EPS both increase is 0.10. What is the probability that at least one of the two companies' EPS will increase according the forecasting models?

选项:

A.

0.20

B.

0.40

C.

0.60

解释:

C is correct.

The probability that at least one of the two companies' EPS will increase=0.45+0.25-0.10=0.60

P(A)*1-P(B)+P(B)*1-P(B)+P(A B)=0.45*0.75+0.25*0.55+0.1=0.58

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2022年03月14日

同学你好,

不确定你是用的什么思路。但这道题没有别的思路。题干中“...at least one of...”说明此时要用乘法法则,即P(A+B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AB),直接做就可以,不需要其他的方法。