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聂赫留朵夫 · 2022年02月19日

三级外汇roll yield和carry trade

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NO.PZ201601050100001503

问题如下:

Identify two strategies Delgado should use to earn a positive roll yield. Describe the specific steps needed to execute each strategy.


解释:


Given that the base currency (the US dollar) is trading at a forward premium, the hedge requires the sale of US dollar forward, resulting in a positive roll yield. The concept of roll yield is very similar to forward rate bias and the carry trade. Here, Delgado is suggesting a strategy to pursue when there is a negative roll yield, because a hedger trading against the forward bias would be buying US dollars at a forward premium instead of selling them. The carry trade strategy of borrowing in low-yield currencies and investing in high-yield currencies is equivalent to trading the forward rate bias, not against it.

中文解析:

基于整个题干的背景可知:本币是EUR,外币是USD。因此担心外币贬值,需要short forward on EUR/USD(也就是解析里面说的base currency应该是USD)

现在美元存在远期溢价,即F>S,所以short forward on EUR/USD的头寸,计算roll yield=F-S/S也会有正的收益。

另外因为美元的利率低于欧元的利率,可以执行carry trade策略,借低利率货币投资于高利率货币,其中低利率货币又叫做forward premium currency,高利率货币又叫做forward discount currency。

请问表里答案1carry trade 和2forward premium 描述不是同一种交易策略吗?另一种策略是不是直接short forward on USD来获得正的roll yield,谢谢

2 个答案
已采纳答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年02月20日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好~

这是R10今年新增的课后题,考察的其实是carry trade策略的另一种说法。

1.     正如同学说的,答案中的1和2其实是一个策略,都是借低利率货币投资于高利率货币的操作,只是叫法不同而已。Carry trade 策略又叫做trade the forward rate bias.注意低利率货币叫做forward premium currency,高利率货币叫做forward discount currency,这一点何老师在课上也有讲到哈。

2.     然后同学的第二个问题“另一种策略是不是直接short forward on USD来获得正的roll yield”

答案中的两种策略是一种策略哈,都是赚取两国利差的。

Roll yield是另外的一个知识点,roll yield可以理解为签订远期合约可以给我们带来的好处,是使用forward合约来管理外币资产的时候的计算量。

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年02月20日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好~

我明白同学的疑问了哈

原因是option的标的不是VIX index,而是VIX index futures,然后看一下原文“The VIX Index is currently at 14.87, and the front-month VIX futures trades at 15.60”,可以知道我们应该使用的是15.6。所以说表格中的Call是ATM的啦,因为X=S=15.6嘛。

为什么标的是VIX futures呢?

原文中其实是做了说明的,对应“It is important to note that VIX option prices reflect the VIX futures prices.”。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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