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moon · 2022年02月07日

题目说bear flat,那就是利率↓,长期利率相对于短期利率↓,long长期+short短期吗,那不是应该选C吗?

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NO.PZ202112010200000103

问题如下:

Assume the manager is able to extend her mandate by adding derivatives strategies to the three portfolio alternatives.

The best way to position her portfolio to benefit from a bear flattening scenario is to combine a:

选项:

A.

2-year receive-fixed Australian dollar (AUD) swap with the same money duration as the bullet portfolio.

B.

2-year pay-fixed AUD swap with twice the money duration as the 2-year government bond in the barbell portfolio.

C.

9-year receive-fixed AUD swap with twice the money duration as the 9-year government bond position in the equally weighted portfolio.

解释:

B is correct. A bear flattening scenario is a decrease in the yield spread between long- and short-term maturities driven by higher short-term rates. The manager must therefore position her portfolio to benefit from rising short-term yields.

Under A, the receive-fixed 2-year swap is a synthetic long position, increasing portfolio duration that will result in an MTM loss under bear flattening. The receive-fixed swap in answer C will increase duration in long-term maturities.
In the case of B, the pay-fixed swap with twice the money duration of the barbell will more than offset the existing long position, resulting in net short 2-year and long 9-year bond positions in the overall portfolio and a gain under bear flattening.

题目说bear flat,那就是利率↓,长期利率相对于短期利率↓,long长期+short短期吗,那不是应该选C吗?

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2022年02月07日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


bear flatten是利率上涨,不是利率下降哈。

bear flatten是长短期利率都上涨,短期利率上涨幅度大,长期利率上涨幅度小,相对于短期利率,长期利率下降了,相对于长期利率,短期利率上涨了,我们可以long 长期,short 短期,但是请注意,这是一个long short策略,long头寸与short头寸要一起做,从而实现不额外花一分钱的情况下,受益于收益率曲线的变动。

如果我们单纯的Long或者short,由于长短期都上涨,我们最好是只做short 头寸,不做long 头寸,所以,不能选择C。

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