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Fair · 2022年01月24日

不明白解题思路和t分别为0和1的意思。

NO.PZ2018122701000018

问题如下:

The bank’s trading book consists of the following two assets:

Correlation (A, B) = 0.2

How would the daily VaR at 99% level change if the bank sells $50 worth of asset A and buys $50 worth of asset B?

Assume there are 250 trading days in a year.

选项:

A.

$0.2286

B.

$0.4776

C.

$0.7705

D.

$0.7798

解释:

B is correct.

考点 Parametric Estimation Approaches

解析 The trade will decrease the VaR by 0.4776。

易错点:求daily VaR,但题干给的是annual return。

t=0,组合由$100A+$50B构成,μP =13.33%, 由年转化为天,13.33%/250=0.0533%.

σP =19.15%, 由年转化为天, 19.15%/SQRT(250)=1.2111%

daily 99%VaR=(2.33*1.2111%-0.0533%)*$150=$4.1528

t=1,组合由$50A+$100B构成,μP =16.66%, 由年转化为天,16.66%/250=0.0667%.

σP =17.08%, 由年转化为天, 17.08%/SQRT(250)=1.0801%

daily 99%VaR=(2.33*1.0801%-0.0667%)*$150=$3.6749

所以$4.1528-$3.6749=0.4779,最接近的是B选项。

这一题的思路不太明白,是先求组合的u和σ对吧,组合的u就是各自的权重乘以对应的u相加,但是组合的σ是怎么求出来的呢?然后t分别=0和1,这个又是什么意思?

1 个答案

DD仔_品职助教 · 2022年01月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好,


t=0时刻是变化前的头寸,A=100,B=50.

A的权重是2/3, B是1/3.


t=1是变化后的头寸,银行卖了50的A,买了50的B,A=50,B=100.

A的权重是1/3, B是2/3.


根据权重的变化,可以求出变化前与变化后的组合σ:

组合的σ=A的权重^2*σA^2+B的权重^2*σB^2+2*A的权重*B的权重*σA*σB*相关系数。

题目给的σ是年的,我们求出来的组合σ也是年华的,但是题目让我们求的是daily的,σ根据平方根法则计算,dailyσ=年的σ/根号下250天,因为一年250个交易日。


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