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wanlankiki · 2021年12月21日

B

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NO.PZ201511190100000306

问题如下:

Which one of the following biases did Jordan not demonstrate?

选项:

A.

Self-attribution.

B.

Representativeness.

C.

Illusion of knowledge.

解释:

B is correct.

Nowhere in the scenario did it mention that Jordan classified certain information into a personalized category. Representativeness bias is a cognitive bias in which people tend to classify new information based on past experiences and classifications. Jordan is not relating the certainty about the future or her decision to hold losing positions back to something she has done or experienced in the past.

请问老师,他说策略之前表现的好为什么没有represenetatives呢?
2 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2023年08月02日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


@DaiDai 

2018-4-B,2017-5-A 在哪里找?

这两道真题,我们已经收录在经典题中了

真题 2018-4-B 收录于经典题 R1-1.4 

真题 2017-5-A 收录于经典题 R1-1.2

同学直接做经典题,然后听老师的讲解即可

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

王琛_品职助教 · 2021年12月21日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1

我理解同学所引用的正文背景是:倒数第二段,She reassures the team that this strategy has performed well in the past and that the markets will revert and the fund’s returns will return to normal levels.

从关键词 reassure 判断,其反映的偏差是过度自信中的 certainty overconfidence

由于过于肯定自己的判断而赋予结果的概率过高时,就会出现确定性过度自信

2

关于 representativeness,建议和 conservatism bias 放到一起辨析,因为两个偏差,都涉及 base information 和 new information

历年真题中,有两道题考查过:2018-4-B,2017-5-A

建议同学先把这两道题做一下,感受一下协会对 representativeness 的考查,之后上线的经典题也有收录这两道题,同学届时可以再听一下老师的讲解

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

hyi725 · 2023年08月01日

2018-4-B,2017-5-A 在哪里找?

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