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magickame · 2021年11月23日

如何判断short还是long?

NO.PZ2016082404000022

问题如下:

On June 2, a fund manager with USD 10 million invested in government bonds is concerned that interest rates will be highly volatile over the next three months. The manager decides to use the September Treasury bond futures contract to hedge the portfolio. The current futures price is USD 95.0625. Each contract is for the delivery of USD 100,000 face value of bonds. The duration of the manager’s bond portfolio in three months will be 7.8 years. The cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) bond in the Treasury bond futures contract is expected to have a duration of 8.4 years at maturity of the contract. At the maturity of the Treasury bond futures contract, the duration of the underlying benchmark Treasury bond is nine years. What position should the fund manager undertake to mitigate his interest rate risk exposure?

选项:

A.

  Short 94 contracts

B.

  Short 98 contracts

C.

  Short 105 contracts

D.

  Short 113 contracts

解释:

ANSWER: B

The number of contracts to short is N=DSSDFF=(7.8×10,000,000)8.4×95.0625×1,000=97.7N\ast=-\frac{D_S^\ast S}{D_F^\ast F}=\frac{-(7.8\times10,000,000)}{8.4\times95.0625\times1,000}=-97.7, or 98 contracts. Note that the relevant duration for the futures is that of the CTD; other numbers are irrelevant.

公式里面没有正负号一般怎么判断?

1 个答案

DD仔_品职助教 · 2021年11月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


我们目前的头寸是价值10m久期是7.8的债券,想要用久期是8.4市值95.0625的期货来进行对冲,期货和债券的久期都是正数,说明利率的变动对于他俩long position头寸价格的影响方向一致。

那么我们是想要对冲掉利率变动对long债券的影响,那就必须short期货才可以使得他俩的价格对于利率变动的方向相反,这样才能达到对冲的效果。

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