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合意H2y · 2021年11月02日

混淆预期和事实

  1. CFA II
  2. Ethics

NO.PZ2016032802000035

问题如下：

Recently, Cindy issued a research report. In the report, she stated that, "based on the fact that the vast tourists visit the East Asian these years which leads the East Asian Hotel Department have grown rapidly, we expect the majority of the industry companies are able to have great profits depending on the revenue increases. We also be sure of this trend which will continue for the next five years." Did Cindy violate any Code and Standards?

选项：

A.

No.

B.

Yes, because she failed to properly distinguish the facts from opinions.

C.

Yes, Because she failed to properly identify details.

解释：

A is correct.

According to V(B) Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients, which Cindy states was just her opinion and didn’t violate any Code and Standards. She was no need to report every detail about the possible investment.

请问题目中We also be sure of this trend which will continue for the next five years.算不算混淆预期和事实呀？
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1 个答案

王暄_品职助教 · 2021年11月02日

Distinction between Facts and Opinions in Reports是指要把Opinion和Facts彻底分开。不能把Opinion故意说成是Facts。

这段话可以分成两部分：

第一部分，Based on the fact that the vast tourist ....grown rapidly，从叙述来看，这个就是基于过去的事实。

然后第二部分，就是Cindy的预测了：We expected.......包括We aslo be sure of....这also be sure of 也是属于预测内容。只不过他们对自己的预测比较坚定。

在分析报告里说，我们认为，我们预测，我们相信，我们确信等等，是可以的，这也是在表达一种Opinion。

如果在表达这个Opinion表达时，故意说成了是事实，比如说是以Based on the fact....来总结那就错了

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NO.PZ2016032802000035 sure如何理解成opinion？自己觉得很确定的opinion吗？

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