NO.PZ2018091706000044
问题如下:
BBQ firm is an American company and exported steel to a firm which is in England. For some reasons, BBQ will receive the payment of 3,600,000 GBP in six months and the firm would change these pounds into dollars. To hedge the currency risk, BBQ enters a 6 month forward contract to sold GBP at 1.5512USD/GBP
Three months passed. Now, the spot exchange market rate is 1.5500 USD/GBP for bid and 1.5505 for ask .The firm collects the forward rates and 90-Day Libor in the following tables:
According to the above information, the mark-to-market value for BBC’s forward position is closest to:
选项:
A.USD 324.
B.USD -323.64.
C.USD 323.64.
解释:
C is correct.
考点:Mark –to-Market Value
解析:BBQ公司进入了一份时长6个月的外汇合约。它担心卖出GBP贬值,所以该合约是卖GBP买USD,即在合约到期时公司要以1.5512USD/GBP的价格卖出GBP。现在过去三个月,那么截止当前,该合约还剩3个月到期。由于3个月后公司需要进入一份与期初头寸相反的对冲合约来结束期初的合约,所以那时BBQ应该买入GBP,卖出USD。买入GBP就需要以做市商的卖价(ask)买入。所以我们求得未来3个月 USD/GBP的市场报价。即1.5505 +0.00061=1.55111。
由于买价是1.55111,卖价是1.5512。所以3,600,000 GBP的本金在合约到期时的利润就是(1.5512-1.55111)×3,600,000 = 324USD。但是这个数值是到期时合约的价值,我们对其往前折现3个月才能求得合约在当前的价值。本题中的标价货币是USD,所以折现时候需要使用USD的3个月利率水平。即
这道题里面说的,在到期的时候,卖GBP,收1.5512USD,这个我能理解。不用选择。
然后接下来我要做对冲,我要卖USD,然后收GBP,这个时候利率我无所谓,我就先用1.5500和1.5505USD/GBP这一组。
然后我不知道该选哪个了。。。彻底看到懵了……
如果我有GBP,每个GBP可以买1.5500美元,(肯定是低的那个);
如果我要买它,就要花1.5505美元,(是不是这里就相当于卖美元了?)所以就这里就是选1.5505了?
这逻辑一下子转不过来了……