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Er1c · 2021年10月24日

为什么B对?

NO.PZ2019103001000043

问题如下:

Sanober Hirji is a junior analyst with Northco Securities, which is based in Canada. The institutional clients of Northco are active investors in Canadian coupon-bearing government bonds. Client portfolios are benchmarked to a Canadian government bond index, which is a diverse maturity index portfolio. After reviewing the portfolio of a French institutional client, Hirji evaluates yield curve strategies for Canadian government bond portfolios under various interest rate scenarios. Hirji’s supervisor, Éliane Prégent, forecasts that Canadian long-term rates will rise and short-term rates will fall over the next 12 months.

Based on Prégent’s interest rate forecast over the next 12 months, the yield curve strategy that would most likely realize the highest profit is:

选项:

A.

a carry trade.

B.

a bullet structure

C.

duration management by buying long-term Canadian bonds

解释:

B is correct.

A bullet performs well when the yield curve is expected to steepen. Since Prégent’s forecast is for long rates to rise and short rates to fall, this strategy will add value to the French client’s portfolio by insulating the portfolio against adverse moves at the long end of the curve. If short rates fall, the bullet portfolio gives up very little in profits given the small magnitude of price changes at the short end of the curve.

利率曲线变陡,买一个中期的债券,应该影响不大吧?
1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2021年10月25日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:



这里的bullet有highest return是相对于另外两个来比较的。

长期收益率曲线向上变动,应该卖出长期债而不是买入长期债,C不对。

同样,长期收益率曲线向上,carry trade无利可图。

由于bullet只有中期现金流,无长期现金流,因此长期收益率曲线向上对它影响不大,bullet主要受中期利率变动的影响,而本题又未明确中期利率的变动方向,因此,只能根据steepen时,bullet比barbell表现好这个结论来判断。

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