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徐威廉 · 2021年10月23日

cap rate

NO.PZ2020012102000008

问题如下:

An analyst at a real estate investment management firm seeks to establish expectations for rate of return for properties in the industrial sector over the next year. She has obtained the following information:

Estimate the expected return from the industrial sector properties based on the data provided.

选项:

解释:

The expected change in the cap rate from 5.7% to 5.5% represents a (5.5% – 5.7%)/5.7% = 3.5% decrease.
Using the expression E(Rre) = CapRate + NOI growth rate – %ΔCapRate = 5.7% + (1% + 1.5%) – (–3.5%) = 11.7%.
Note: As the cap rate is expected to decrease, property values are expected to increase, hence the cap rate change contributes to the expected return.

解析:

上限率从5.7%到5.5%的预期变化为(5.5% -5.7%)/5.7% = 3.5%。

使用表达式E(Rre) = CapRate + NOI growth rate – %ΔCapRate = 5.7%+ (1% + 1.5%) – (–3.5%) = 11.7%.

注意到,由于 cap rate预期会下降,物业价值预期会上升,因此上限税率的改变对预期回报有贡献。

计算房地产expected return公式中第一项的cap rate为什么要用current cap rate?不用expected呢?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

源_品职助教 · 2021年10月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:



因为CAPRATE可以下作NOI/P

注意到这里的NOI是租金减去一些成本费用

因为租金在合约内的一个固定的,不像分红那些每年递增,有一个EXPECTED DIVIDEND.

所以NOI每年数值基本固定,就是一个当前值。所以CAPRATE 也是当前的。


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