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AL · 2021年10月19日

 rising yield curve 比 buy n hold 更加高利益?

NO.PZ2019103001000051

问题如下:

Silvia Abram and Walter Edgarton are analysts with Cefrino Investments, which sponsors the Cefrino Sovereign Bond Fund (the Fund). Abram and Edgarton recently attended an investment committee meeting where interest rate expectations for the next 12 months were discussed. The Fund’s mandate allows its duration to fluctuate ±0.30 per year from the benchmark duration. The Fund’s duration is currently equal to its benchmark. Although the Fund is presently invested entirely in annual coupon sovereign bonds, its investment policy also allows investments in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and call options on government bond futures. The Fund’s current holdings of on-the-run bonds are presented in Exhibit 1.

Over the next 12 months, Abram expects a stable yield curve; however, Edgarton expects a steepening yield curve, with short-term yields rising by 1.00% and long-term yields rising by more than 1.00%.

Based on Exhibit 1 and Abram’s expectation for the yield curve over the next 12 months, the strategy most likely to improve the Fund’s return relative to the benchmark is to:





选项:

A.

buy and hold

B.

increase convexity

C.

ride the yield curve

解释:

C is correct.

Since Abram expects the curve to remain stable, the yield curve is upward sloping and the Fund’s duration is neutral to its benchmark. Her best strategy is to ride the yield curve and enhance return by capturing price appreciation as the bonds shorten in maturity.

老師你好 咋樣從這個題目裡 看出 rising yield curve 比 buy n hold 更加高利益呢 數字上 market value 都一樣呢 從百分比嗎
1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2021年10月19日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这道题用到的就是结论,收益率曲线不变,riding the yield curve一年的收益比Buy and hold一年的收益要高,举个例子吧。

s1=1%,s2=2%,假设都是0息债

期初1年期债券价格:P=100/1.01=99,两年期债券价格P=100/(1+2%)^2=96.11

期初买入1年期债券,一年期的持有收益就是1%

期初买入2年期债券,一年后卖出,卖出价格为99,持有一年的收益根据P0*(1+r)=p1计算,r=99/96.11-1=3%

所以,预期收益率曲线不变,riding the yield curve的收益高于buy and hold。

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