NO.PZ2019011002000025
问题如下:
Li is a credit analyst in a wealth management firm. He discusses the long/Short trade with his client.
For the company and global economies, Li has the following outlooks:
Outlook 1: The credit quality of BMW will improve relative to that of Benz.
Outlook 2: The US economy will weaken relative to that of Canada.
According to the information above, a profitable long/short trade would be:
选项:
A.Long US CDX IG and short Canadian CDX IG.
B.Short Benz CDS and long BMW CDS.
C.Long Benz CDS and short BMW CDS.
解释:
B is correct
考点:CDS的应用
解析:
对于Outlook 1,预期BMW的信用质量相对于奔驰要提升,因此盈利的头寸应该是卖出BMW的Protection,买入奔驰的Protection。卖出BMW的Protection,对应的为主动承担BMW的Credit risk,因此是Long BWM CDS。买入Benz的Protection,相当于转移Benz的Credit risk,因此是Short Benz CDS。因此B选项正确。
对于Outlook 2,预期美国的经济相对加拿大的weaken,因此买入美国的Protection,买入美国的Protection,就是转移美国的Credit risk,因此是Short US CDX IG;卖出加拿大的Protection,对应主动承担加拿大的Credit risk,因此是Long Canadian CDX IG,因此A选项错误。注意本题所说的是头寸,而并非买卖保险,Buy/Sell protection并不直接等于Long/Short CDS头寸。两者的表述恰好是相反的。
美国环境恶化,不应该是买美国保险吗?