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滴滴姐姐~ · 2021年10月09日

问问解析的例子~

NO.PZ2020033002000085

问题如下:

Durian Bank's risk control manager is using Creditrisk + to calculate the bank's 1% credit var. Durian Bank now has two large loans, one is 20 million US dollars, the other is 30 million US dollars, the two are not correlated. Which of the following conclusions about credit var is wrong?

I.Both VaR and WCL could be equal to zero.

II.Expected loss could exceed VaR

III.Expected loss is always smaller than the VAR.

选项:

A.

I and III

B.

I ONLY

C.

I and II.

D.III.

解释:

D is correct.

考点:Credit VaR

解析:比如两笔贷款的违约概率都是0.5%,两者联立的不违约概率是0.995*0.995等于99.0025%。此时99%的credit var等于0。worst case loss也是0。而expected loss不为零,比var和wcl大。

哈喽老师~


题我做对了。。解析给看懵逼了。。。

比如两笔贷款的违约概率都是0.5%,两者联立的不违约概率是0.995*0.995等于99.0025%。(没毛病)


此时99%的credit var等于0。worst case loss也是0。

(从上一句话能推出来的不得是WCL = 0吗?Credit VaR 不得用WCL - EL得到的吗?怎么Credit VaR先给安排出来了?)


而expected loss不为零,比var和wcl大。


【我做前面几道题还有听老师讲课的意思都是先安排WCL和EL 然后俩人一减就算出来Credit VaR对吧】

1 个答案

DD仔_品职助教 · 2021年10月09日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


准确来讲确实是这个样子,信用风险的VaR的计算和其他的风险不一样,准确的表达式是:credit VaR=UL=WCL-EL。

但有的时候,不严谨的话,也会直接认为credit VaR和其他风险一样。

这个解析是举了个例子来说明,就算不举例子说明,用严谨的方法,当EL是0的时候,credit VaR也是有可能为0的。。。

反正这里确实有一点不严谨,你的理解是对的,在做计算题的时候,用严谨的方法就好啦,概念题确实会有这样的情况。

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