NO.PZ201511190100000405
问题如下:
With regard to Johnson’s comment relating to Garnier’s research analysts, which of the following biases is most likely to be present in the analysts’ data?
选项:
A.Confirmation bias.
B.Availability bias.
C.Self-attribution bias.
解释:
A is correct.
Confirmation bias, a cognitive bias, is the tendency for people to misread evidence as additional support for an initial hypothesis. Confirmation bias is a potential bias for analysts conducting research. It is a form of resolving cognitive dissonance that described the tendency to search for, or interpret, information in a way that confirms the analyst’s prior beliefs. The additional information may not be analyzed in a rigorous way, but it can nevertheless appear to make the judgment or forecast more likely by sharing some of its general characteristics.
这道题目关于confirmation basis和availability basis的区别没看明白。
看助教回答说分析师支持Johnson自己的股票所以是confirmation basis,如果是这样我理解。因为说明分析师confirm了Johnson已有的决定。
但题目中没说分析师支持的是Johnson已经有的股票啊,只是说分析师看好的股票Johnson愿意多承担风险。这不就是相当于Johnson愿意接受分析师推荐的股票,是availability basis么?