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玛卡巴卡 · 2021年09月23日

题目

NO.PZ2019122802000010

问题如下:

Jane Shaindy is the chief investment officer of a large pension fund. The pension fund is based in the United States and currently has minimal exposure to hedge funds. The pension fund’s board has recently approved an additional investment in a long/short equity strategy.

During a monthly board meeting, Shaindy discusses her updated market forecast for equity markets. Due to a recent large increase in interest rates and geopolitical tensions, her forecast has changed from one of modestly rising equities to several periods of non-trending markets. Given this new market view, Shaindy concludes that a long/short strategy will not be optimal at this time and seeks another equity-related strategy. The Fund has the capacity to use a substantial amount of leverage.

Determine the most appropriate equity-related hedge fund strategy that Shaindy should employ. Justify your response.

选项:

解释:

Shaindy should employ an equity market-neutral (EMN) equity strategy. Overall, EMN managers are more useful for portfolio allocation during periods of non-trending or declining markets. EMN hedge fund strategies take opposite (long and short) positions in similar or related equities having divergent valuations while attempting to maintain a near net zero portfolio exposure to the market. EMN managers neutralize market risk by constructing their portfolios such that the expected portfolio beta is approximately equal to zero. Moreover, EMN managers often choose to set the betas for sectors or industries as well as for common risk factors (e.g., market size, price-to-earnings ratio, and book-to-market ratio) equal to zero. Since these portfolios do not take beta risk and attempt to neutralize many other factor risks, they typically must apply leverage to the long and short positions to achieve a meaningful return profile from their individual stock selections.
EMN strategies typically deliver return profiles that are steadier and less volatile than those of many other hedge strategy areas. Over time, their conservative and constrained approach typically results in a less dynamic overall return profile than those of managers who accept beta exposure. Despite the use of substantial leverage and because of their more standard and overall steady risk/return profiles, equity market-neutral managers are often a preferred replacement for fixed-income managers during periods when fixed-income returns are unattractively low.

简单归纳一下,题干的核心是基金经理认为市场将从适度上涨变为无趋势(non-trending),问这种预期下要把L/S策略改成哪种equity策略更好。

集体的核心思路是对于non-trending的市场,market-neutral策略最合适。

答案其余部分长篇大论的都是在分析了market-nuetral策略的特点和应用,上课都讲过。

PS:long/short strategy并不是beta要等于0的,可以用net long 或者 net short, 一般net long的情况会比较多,因为股票市场长期是上涨的。

而Equity market neutral就是要求一定是beta=0。两者只是在这里有区别,策略的本质思路是一样的。

老师,这道题用short option的策略可以么?nontrend的话市场波动率也比较低

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2021年09月25日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


short option在无趋势和下跌的市场,自然也是可以的,但是放在这个知识点的语境中,还是要用市场中性。


市场存在上涨、无趋势、下跌,三种情况,如果出现意外,市场上涨,short option会亏损严重,而市场中性不会有大幅亏损,甚至会有盈利。也就是说,出现意外的时候,市场中性的风险比short option小。


这里面就是关联记忆,看到无趋势且下跌,就要联想到市场中性。

----------------------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

玛卡巴卡 · 2021年09月26日

这道题目里没有提到decline 只说了nontrend "her forecast has changed from one of modestly rising equities to several periods of non-trending markets."

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NO.PZ2019122802000010 问题如下 Jane Shain is the chief investment officer of a large pension fun The pension funis basein the UniteStates ancurrently hminimexposure to hee fun. The pension funs boarhrecently approveaitioninvestment in a long/short equity strategy. ring a monthly boarmeeting, Shain scusses her uptemarket forecast for equity markets. e to a recent large increase in interest rates angeopolitictensions, her forecast hchangefrom one of mostly rising equities to severperio of non-trenng markets. Given this new market view, Shain conclus tha long/short strategy will not optimthis time anseeks another equity-relatestrategy. The Funhthe capacity to use a substantiamount of leverage.termine the most appropriate equity-relatehee funstrategy thShain shoulemploy. Justify your response. Shain shoulemploy equity market-neutr(EMN) equity strategy. Overall, EMN managers are more useful for portfolio allocation ring perio of non-trenng or clining markets. EMN hee funstrategies take opposite (long anshort) positions in similor relateequities having vergent valuations while attempting to maintain a nenet zero portfolio exposure to the market. EMN managers neutralize market risk constructing their portfolios suththe expecteportfolio beta is approximately equto zero. Moreover, EMN managers often choose to set the betfor sectors or instries well for common risk factors (e.g., market size, price-to-earnings ratio, anbook-to-market ratio) equto zero. Sinthese portfolios not take beta risk anattempt to neutralize many other factor risks, they typically must apply leverage to the long anshort positions to achieve a meaningful return profile from their invistoselections.EMN strategies typically liver return profiles thare steaer anless volatile ththose of many other hee strategy areas. Over time, their conservative anconstraineapproatypically results in a less namic overall return profile ththose of managers who accept beta exposure. spite the use of substantileverage anbecause of their more stanranoverall stea risk/return profiles, equity market-neutrmanagers are often a preferrereplacement for fixeincome managers ring perio when fixeincome returns are unattractively low.简单归纳一下,题干的核心是基金经理认为市场将从适度上涨变为无趋势(non-trenng),问这种预期下要把L/S策略改成哪种equity策略更好。集体的核心思路是对于non-trenng的市场,market-neutral策略最合适。答案其余部分长篇大论的都是在分析了market-nuetral策略的特点和应用,上课都讲过。PS:long/short strategy并不是beta要等于0的,可以用net long 或者 net short, 一般net long的情况会比较多,因为股票市场长期是上涨的。而Equity market neutral就是要求一定是beta=0。两者只是在这里有区别,策略的本质思路是一样的。 case里面提到利率上升,那不是代表fixeincome的价格下降,这时候买fixeincome正好可以赚到比较高的收益吗?但EMN策略里不是说fixeincome收益低的时候才比较适合用这种策略吗?

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