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滴滴姐姐~ · 2021年09月12日

C是什么东西

NO.PZ2019052001000138

问题如下:

The risk management group estimates the 1-day 99% VaR on a long-only, large-cap equity portfolio using a variety of approaches. A daily risk report shows the following information:

1-day 99% VaR Estimates (by approach):

   Delta-Normal VaR: USD 441,940

   Monte Carlo Simulation VaR: USD 473,906

   Historical Simulation VaR: 495,584

Which of the following is the most likely explanation for the variation in VaR estimates?

选项:

A.

Data problems

B.

Differences in model assumptions

C.

Endogenous model risk

D.

Programming errors

解释:

Explanation: VaR measures will vary according to the approach (delta-normal, historical simulation, Monte Carlo simulation). The variation in these values does not suggest bigger problems with data or programming/implementation nor is there any reason to suspect endogenous model risk (e.g., traders gaming the system to lower risk values).

如题 我其实选对了B 。。。就是来问问C选项是什么东西。。。

读起来内生的risk好像也没啥毛病(蒙的B。。让我来对的更明白一点吧啊哈哈哈哈

1 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2021年09月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


C项意思是模型本身的风险,例如所用的计算公式不符合要求、交易员捏造某种模型去低估风险等等,这些是属于道德风险的问题了,不是VaR数字区别的原因。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!