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玛卡巴卡 · 2021年09月10日

如下

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NO.PZ201812020100000304

问题如下:

Based on Exhibit 2, relative to Portfolio C, Portfolio B:

选项:

A.

has higher cash flow reinvestment risk.

B.

is a more desirable portfolio for liquidity management.

C.

provides less protection from yield curve shifts and twists.

解释:

B is correct.

Portfolio B is a laddered portfolio with maturities spread more or less evenly over the yield curve. A desirable aspect of a laddered portfolio is liquidity management. Because there is always a bond close to redemption, the soon-to-mature bond can provide emergency liquidity needs. Barbell portfolios, such as Portfolio C, have maturities only at the short-term and long-term ends and thus are much less desirable for liquidity management

请问下为什么convexity大,structual risk就大呢?

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2021年09月11日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


structural risk是指收益率曲线非平行移动,免疫策略不成功的风险(△asset≠△liability)。

单笔现金流免疫,负债是0息债,受收益率曲线非平行移动的影响很小(除非负债到期时间点利率变化,否则,其他时间点利率变化不影响负债value)。我们要想使免疫策略成功,就要尽可能减少资产对收益率曲线变化的反应程度。

在duration相同的情况下,convexity可以用来衡量现金流离散程度dispersion。(convexity=(Mac D+Mac D2+Dispersion)/(1+y)2

面对收益率曲线的非平行移动,现金流越分散,那么受收益率变化影响的点就越多,在KRD或者说PVD的影响下,asset value的变化就越不可控。

而现金流越集中(比如0息债,只有一期现金流),受收益率变化影响的点越少,asset value的变化越可控甚至有可能不发生变化(比如2年期、5年期、7年期收益率发生变化,但10年期零息债不会受这三点利率变化的影响)。

所以,convexity越小,structural risk越小,反之,convexity越大,structural risk越大。

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