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水水 · 2021年08月30日

为啥是B呢?

NO.PZ2016032801000010

问题如下:

Scott works for a regional brokerage firm. He estimates that Walkton Industries will increase its dividend by US$1.50 a share during the next year. He realizes that this increase is contingent on pending legislation that would, if enacted, give Walkton a substantial tax break. The US representative for Walkton’s home district has told Scott that, although she is lobbying hard for the bill and prospects for its passage are favorable, concern of the US Congress over the federal deficit could cause the tax bill to be voted down. Walkton Industries has not made any statements about a change in dividend policy. Scott writes in his research report,  "We expect Walkton’s stock price to rise by at least US$8.00 a share by the end of the year because the dividend will increase by US$1.50 a share. Investors buying the stock at the current time should expect to realize a total return of at least 15% on the stock." According to the Standards:

选项:

A.

Scott violated the Standards because he used material inside information.

B.

Scott violated the Standards because he failed to separate opinion from fact.

C.

Scott violated the Standards by basing his research on uncertain predictions of future government action.

解释:

B is correct.

This question relates to Standard V(B) –Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients. Scott has issued a research report stating that he expects the price of Walkton Industries stock to rise by US$8 a share  "because the dividend will increase" by US$1.50 per share. He has made this statement knowing that the dividend will increase only if Congress enacts certain legislation, an uncertain prospect. By stating that the dividend will increase, Scott failed to separate fact from opinion. The information regarding passage of legislation is not material nonpublic information because it is conjecture, and the question does not state whether the US representative gave Scott her opinion on the passage of the legislation in confidence. She could have been offering this opinion to anyone who asked. Therefore, statement A is incorrect. It may be acceptable to base a recommendation, in part, on an expectation of future events, even though they may be uncertain. Therefore, answer C is incorrect.

不是有代表告诉他信息么?信息属于小道消息么~那B的理解呢?没想太明白

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已采纳答案

王暄_品职助教 · 2021年08月31日

Representative所透露的信息不是material nonpublic的,因为这只是一个猜测,不是一个事实。所以Scott并没有利用material nonpublic information,所以不选A

根据CFA standards, Scott可以根据对未来事件走向的推测去提供投资建议(且都是根据推测去做的投资建议),所以Scott也没有因为根据uncertain prediction提供建议而违反准则,所以C是错的


之所以选B是因为,错在他说:dividend will increase by $1.5

他估计股价会涨是没错的,因为说明了是估计出来的。但他的estimation是根据“dividend will increase by $1.5 per share”,这个就不对了。因为dividend是否会增加$1.5,也是估计出来的。这里他表现得跟他很确定知道dividend会涨$1.5似的。

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2023-11-04 23:18 1 · 回答

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2020-10-22 01:07 1 · 回答

    没看懂过往关于C的,麻烦请再说一次,谢谢

2019-06-04 14:46 1 · 回答

    老师,我想问问,如果他分得清faopinion, 他的表述应该是什么样的呢? 是不是应该说 we think/assume ....v coulincrease ....? 这样吗? 

2019-05-25 15:01 1 · 回答