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徐威廉 · 2021年07月25日

为什么A不对?

NO.PZ2019103001000052

问题如下:

Silvia Abram and Walter Edgarton are analysts with Cefrino Investments, which sponsors the Cefrino Sovereign Bond Fund (the Fund). Abram and Edgarton recently attended an investment committee meeting where interest rate expectations for the next 12 months were discussed. The Fund’s mandate allows its duration to fluctuate ±0.30 per year from the benchmark duration. The Fund’s duration is currently equal to its benchmark. Although the Fund is presently invested entirely in annual coupon sovereign bonds, its investment policy also allows investments in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and call options on government bond futures. The Fund’s current holdings of on-the-run bonds are presented in Exhibit 1.


Over the next 12 months, Abram expects a stable yield curve; however, Edgarton expects a steepening yield curve, with short-term yields rising by 1.00% and long-term yields rising by more than 1.00%.

Based on Edgarton’s expectation for the yield curve over the next 12 months, the Fund’s return relative to the benchmark would most likely increase by:

选项:

A.

riding the yield curve

B.

implementing a barbell structure.

C.

shortening the portfolio duration relative to the benchmark.

解释:

C is correct.

If interest rates rise and the yield curve steepens as Edgarton expects, then shortening the Fund’s duration from a neutral position to one that is shorter than the benchmark will improve the portfolio’s return relative to the benchmark. This duration management strategy will avoid losses from long-term interest rate increases.

看了发亮老师的讲解还是不明白为什么这题不能用riding the yield curve
徐威廉 · 2021年07月25日

收益率曲线预期有两种,一种是stable yield curve,另一种是change yield curve。 对于stable yield curve,可以增厚return的策略有buy and hold; riding the yield curve; sell convexity; carry trade。 对于change yield curve,可以增厚return的策略有bullet、barbell、butterfly、condor等等。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa015 · 2021年07月25日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好。

收益率曲线预期有两种,一种是stable yield curve,另一种是change yield curve。

对于stable yield curve,可以增厚return的策略有buy and hold; riding the yield curve; sell convexity; carry trade。

对于change yield curve,可以增厚return的策略有bullet、barbell、butterfly、condor等等。

本题E同学预期收益率曲线是向上且变steep的,那么,A肯定是不能用的,因为A适用于stable yield curve;B的barbell portfolio在steep yield curve的情况下表现不好,bullet在steeper curve下表现好;那么只有C满足。C降低债券久期,可以在收益率曲线上升的时候减少损失。

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