NO.PZ2019103001000086
问题如下:
Feng, a junior fixed-income analyst in an asset management company, discusses the risks with the liability-driven investing with his supervisor.
Feng made the following statements:
Statement 1: model risk exists in the LDI investing because of the many assumptions and approximations used to measure key parameters.
Statement 2: In practice, it is common to approximate portfolio duration by using the weighted average of the individual duration. As a result, the model risk arises. This model risk can be minimized by using cash flow yield to calculate portfolio duration.
Statement 3: Spread risk arises because it is common to assume equal changes in asset, liability and hedging instrument yields.
According to the information above, which of the following is correct?
选项:
A. Statement 1 and statement 2 are wrong
B. Statement 2 is correct and statement 3 is wrong
C. Statement 2 and statement 3 are correct.
解释:
答案:C is correct.
考点:考查LDI的风险
解析:Statement 1正确。LDI investing的Model risk来源于模型的假设以及衡量指标的近似。例如,在为养老金构建LDI时,会用PBO来衡量养老金负债,而在计算养老金的PBO时,会很有多假设,如对员工工资、员工寿命、通货膨胀等等的假设。不合理的假设就会引入Model risk;
此外,衡量指标的近似,也会引入Model risk,例如,在构建资产组合匹配养老金负债时,我们假设Equity的Duration近似等于零,显然这样的近似并不合理。会引入Model risk。
Statement 2正确,通常计算债券组合的Duration数据时,会将各个成份债券的Duration做一个简单的加权平均,这样算得的Duration数据并不能很好地衡量债券组合的利率风险。这样就是对债券组合衡量指标(Duration)的近似,会引入Model risk。为了降低因为Duration不准确带来的影响,我们需要按照定义去计算债券组合的Duration数据。这时需要将债券组合看成一个大的债券,需要对每一期发生的现金流进行折现算出债券组合的Macaulay duration。对这个大债券进行折现的折现率就是组合的Cash flow yield.
Statement 3正确:在进行LDI策略时,会假设影响资产、负债的收益率是同一条收益率,所以在构建LDI时,会假设影响资产、负债的收益率变动相同的幅度。但一般影响资产、负债的收益率并不一定是同一条收益率,所以他们的收益率变动并不同步。在构建LDI策略时,这种资产、负债的收益率变动不同步带来的风险就是Spread risk.
statement2可以仔细解释一下吗?