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PaisleyPPx · 2021年07月11日

老师

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NO.PZ201710200100000408

问题如下:

8. Based on Exhibits 2 and 3 and the multistage RI model, Castovan should estimate the intrinsic value of TTCI to be closest to:

选项:

A.

€54.88.

B.

€83.01.

C.

€85.71.

解释:

C is correct.

Residual income per share for the next three years is calculated as follows.

Because Castovan forecasts that residual income per share will be constant into perpetuity, equal to Year 3 residual income per share, the present value of the terminal value is calculated using a persistence factor of 1.

Present value of terminal value = 8.54(0.087×58.25)(1+0.0871)(1+0.087)2\frac{8.54-(0.087\times58.25)}{(1+0.087-1)(1+0.087)^2}

= 3.47(0.087)(1.087)2\frac{3.47}{ ( 0.087 ) ( 1.087 ) ^2} =33.78

So, the intrinsic value of TTCI is then calculated as follows.

V0=45.25+3.881.087+3.68/(1.087)2+33.78\frac{45.25+3.88}{1.087+3.68/(1.087)^2+33.78}=85.71

老师 答案中的Present value of terminal value 和V0 的具体公式是怎么来的

答案不是很清晰 有点看不懂

3 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2022年01月28日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,答案中的方法是相当于从RI3开始进入永续不变阶段,所以直接把RI3计入第二阶段用来计算PVRI的值了——所以实际RI3的折现已经体现在PVRI3的计算里(PVRI3折现2年)

你也可以把RI1,RI2,RI3都算作第一阶段分别折现到0时刻,然后从RI4(=RI3)开始看作第二阶段计算PVRI4(PVRI4折现3年)。这两种方法计算出来的V0都是一样的哦~~

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

韩韩_品职助教 · 2021年09月04日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,题目的说法是starting in year 4,这就是说从第四年一开始,RI就不变化了,那就是等于第三年的RI3了,所以要以第三年为起点计算terminal value

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

韩韩_品职助教 · 2021年07月13日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好:


答案的公式显示有点问题,本来是全部合并在一起了,我们分开来写一下,我们这是一个两阶段的RI估值模型,第一阶段是前2年,前2年的RI计算上,答案的表格中已经展示的很清楚了,我们就直接采用了:RI1=3.88,RI2=3.68;而从第三年开始,RI3=3.47,恒定了,w=1,所以根据公式:PVRI3=(RI*w)/(1+r-w)=3.47*1/(1+0.087-1)=39.89,但记住,这是第二年末这个时间点的终值,到时候还要在折现到估值的0时刻。

现在根据股指公式V=B0+PVRI1+PVRI2+PVTV=45.25+3.88/(1+8.7%)+3.68/(1+8.7%)^2+39.89/(1+8.7%)^2=85.7

关键是画图,找好两阶段的分界点,看到底折到哪一时刻;另外注意,不要忘了加上B0


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

8527 · 2021年09月02日

可是题目不是说从第四年开始恒定吗? 为什么第三年就算terminal value

兔小兔 · 2021年12月24日

为什么 求V的时候 RI3不用在折现了?

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NO.PZ201710200100000408问题如下8. Baseon Exhibits 2 an3 anthe multistage RI mol, Castovshoulestimate the intrinsic value of TTto closest to:A.€54.88.B.€83.01.C.€85.71. C is correct.Resiincome per share for the next three years is calculatefollows.Because Castovforecasts thresiincome per share will constant into perpetuity, equto Ye3 resiincome per share, the present value of the terminvalue is calculateusing a persistenfactor of 1.Present value of terminvalue = 8.54−(0.087×58.25)(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)2\frac{8.54-(0.087\times58.25)}{(1+0.087-1)(1+0.087)^2}(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)28.54−(0.087×58.25)​= 3.47(0.087)(1.087)2\frac{3.47}{ ( 0.087 ) ( 1.087 ) ^2}(0.087)(1.087)23.47​ =33.78 So, the intrinsic value of TTis then calculatefollows.V0=\frac{45.25+3.88/1.087+3.68/(1.087)^2+33.78}=85.71 没搞明白为什么单阶段模型里的PVRI可以用(ROE-r)*B0/(r-g)来计算,这道题多阶段模型的后面说了ROE=12%不变,r=8.7%不变,g也不变,为什么就不能用前面这个公式呢?

2024-10-01 20:35 1 · 回答

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2024-09-29 11:30 1 · 回答

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2024-08-20 08:56 2 · 回答

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2024-07-12 11:41 1 · 回答

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2024-04-08 23:50 1 · 回答