NO.PZ2018091901000047
问题如下：
Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist who develops capital market expectations for an investment firm that invests across asset classes and global markets. Wakuluk started her career when the global markets were experiencing significant volatility and poor returns; as a result, she is now careful to base her conclusions on objective evidence and analytical procedures to mitigate any potential biases.
Wakuluk most likely seeks to mitigate which of the following biases in developing capital market forecasts?
选项：
A.Availability
B.Time period
C.Survivorship
解释：
A is correct.
Wakuluk started her career when the global markets were experiencing signifcant volatility and poor returns. She is careful to base her conclusions on objective evidence and analytical procedures to mitigate potential biases, which suggests she is seeking to mitigate an availability bias. Availability bias is the tendency to be overly influenced by events that have left a strong impression and/or for which it is easy to recall an example.
解析：题中提到Wakuluk的职业生涯开始时，全球市场正经历严重的波动和糟糕的回报。她谨慎地将自己的结论建立在客观证据和分析程序的基础上，以减少潜在的偏见，这表明她正在寻求减少availability bias。
availability bias是指容易被留下深刻印象和/或容易回忆起一个例子的事件过度影响的倾向。
所以A选项正确，B，C在这里都是打酱油的选项。
同问，为什么不选择B和C，因为经历了严重的波动和糟糕的回报的时期，一方面建模和分析尽量避免time period影响，这段时期的数据和其他时期数据会有重大偏离；第二方面，经历了严重波动，会存在survivorship bias，许多公司或者组合会中止；最后选择才是A吧。
