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廿三里 · 2021年06月20日

关于汇率

NO.PZ2018091706000061

问题如下:

Assume that the DM country has what is considered a low-yield safe haven currency while the EM country has a high-yield currency whose value is more exposed to fluctuations in the global economic growth rate. All else equal, the exchange rate for the EM currency will most likely depreciate if the:


选项:

A.

long-run equilibrium value of the high-yield currency is revised upward 

B.

nominal yield spread between the EM and DM countries increases over time 

C.

expected inflation differential between the EM and DM countries is revised upward 

解释:

All else equal, an increase in the expected inflation differential should lead to depreciation of the EM currency.

解析:

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibrium real exchange rate + (real interest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

根据上述公式。所以AB选项错误。

在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C选项正确。


请问这题是什么意思呀 直接听的强化班看不太懂这个题
1 个答案

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2021年06月21日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,本题涉及一个公式

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibrium real exchange rate + (real interest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

就是说对于实际的交易汇率,我们在均衡的汇率水平上要对利率和风险因素进行区分,利率水平高,会吸引投资实际汇率会走高,相反如果风险比较高(例如发生战争/政权不稳定)那么就会造成资金的流出。


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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