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开泰-王飞 · 2021年06月08日

run up是什么意思?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201601200500004606

问题如下:

6. Are Smith’s two comments about his analysis correct?

选项:

A.

Both of his comments are correct.

B.

Both of his comments are incorrect.

C.

His first comment is correct, and his second comment is incorrect.

解释:

A is correct.

Both of Smith’s statements are correct.

If there was a pre-announcement run-up in Quadrant’s price because of speculation, the takeover premium should be computed based on the price prior to the run-up. Because the comparable transaction approach is based on the acquisition price, the takeover premium is implicitly recognized in this approach.

不太明白这个词义       

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2021年06月09日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


Comment 1 是说:如果在公告前,Quadrant 的股价因为投机而上涨 run-up,那么收购溢价 takeover premium 应该根据上涨前的股价计算

这是课后题第 12 题,我个人觉得和课后题第 10 题,其实关联挺强的,可以在第 10 题的基础上,理解这个 Comment

在第 10 题中,使用可比公司分析法 comparable company approach,用第 9 题计算出来的平均股价 35.21,乘以平均收购溢价 17.26%,得出预估的公允收购价格为 41.29

其中平均收购溢价 17.26%,是通过计算三笔最近的可比收购交易的数据计算得出

比如第一家公司 Quadrant,收购前股价 stock price pre-takeover 为 24.9,收购股价acquisition stock price 为 28,所以其收购溢价为 12.45% (28.00/24.90-1)

根据 Comment 1 的描述,假如 Quadrant 的股价因为投机而上涨,比如收购前股价不是 24.9,而是 27;那么使用可比公司分析法,计算三家公司的平均收购溢价时,Quadrant 的收购溢价,还是用 28.00/24.90-1 计算,而不是用 28.00/27.00-1 计算

原理请参考原版书 P266 的附注 21: 分析师必须注意到任何交易前的价格跳跃,这可能是由于市场上的收购投机而发生的。在这些情况下,分析师在计算收购溢价时,应选用一个对股票价格产生任何投机影响之前的、有代表性的价格

"The analyst must be careful to note any pre-deal jump in the price that may have occurred because of takeover speculation in the market. In these cases, the analyst should apply the takeover premium to a selected representative price from before any speculative influences on the stock price."

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!