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毛线 · 2021年05月12日

这题是双尾 所以对应的T分布表的P=0.005?

NO.PZ2015120604000145

问题如下:

Here is a table discribing sample statistics from two bonds' rate of return which are both normally distributed over the past decades. If an investor is considering whether the mean of bond A is equal to 22%,

which of the following conclusion is least appropriate (significant level=1%) ?

选项:

A.

The null hypothesis can be rejected.

B.

It is appropriate to use a two-tailed t-test.

C.

The test statistic value is 1.333.

解释:

A is correct.

The null hypothesis: H0: μ=22%.

Because the sample size is 25, which is less than 30, so it is appropriate to use the two-tailed t-test.

t24=x-μ0sn=0.26-0.220.1525=1.333

±t24 at α= 0.01= ±2.797;

Because -2.797 <1.333<+2.797, therefore, H0 cannot be rejected.

这题是双尾 所以对应的T分布表的P=0.005?单尾就是0.01?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年05月12日

同学你好,

你提到的“这题是双尾 所以对应的T分布表的P=0.005?单尾就是0.01?”在对应t分布表是单尾(one tailed)的情况下成立。

单尾t表只看单尾面积,所以双尾检验,significant level=1%时相当于单尾面积为1%/2=0.5%,此时要看的就是0.5%所对应的关键值。

如果是单尾检验,直接就看单尾面积1%对应的关键值。

原版书中给出的t表是单尾的,所以这种方法考察的概率比较高。

------------------------

但如果是双尾t表,那么本题对应的关键值直接就看1%的,这种考法曾经在mock题里出现过。

而此时1%单尾检验要看的就是双尾t表中2%所对应的关键值。这种考法很少见。

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