开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

菱秋秋 · 2021年05月07日

这道题中的explanation部分可以照抄原文么?答案中的证据部分是不是太长了?考试的时候写的话可以怎样压缩呢?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201511200300003002

问题如下:

Sili next uses three approaches to analyze his retirement goals:

Approach 1 Sili considers the probability that he will live to a certain age and then predicts his inflation- adjusted retirement spending according to the probability that he will still be living in a given year. This approach allows him to estimate the present value of his retirement spending needs by assigning associated probabilities to annual expected cash outflows.

Approach 2 Sili determines that he can specify his level of annual spending during retirement and that he can model that spending as a series of fixed payments. He calculates the present value of that series of payments as of the day of his retirement, resulting in the amount of money that he will need to fund his retirement goals.

Approach 3 Sili models the uncertainty of each key variable individually by assigning each one its own probability distribution and then generates a large number of random outcomes for each variable. He aggregates the outcomes to determine an overall probability of reaching his objectives. Sili sees this as a flexible approach that allows him to explore various scenarios, including unforeseen expenses.

Identify each approach that Sili uses to analyze his retirement goals. Explain each response.



选项:

解释:

Identify each approach that Sili uses to analyze his retirement goals. Explain each response.




这道题中的explanation部分可以照抄原文么?答案中的证据部分是不是太长了?考试的时候写的话可以怎样压缩呢?

2 个答案

王暄_品职助教 · 2022年07月19日

老师,如果主观题碰到这样的题目,是不是主要三句话:(结论1’+证据1’(原文)+解释1’)?我可以先写原文中的句子,然后根据Mortality Tables、Annuity Method、Monte Carlo Simulation定义,结合文中的内容解释一下?

可以的,这样是非常准确的答案。

王暄_品职助教 · 2021年05月08日

证据可以抄原文,但需要结合自己的文字进行解释。

我删了了些没用的话给你参考,其实你自己可以再精简,或者换成自己的语言。

Approach 1:

A mortality table allows for estimating the present value of retirement spending needs by associating each outflow with a probability based on life expectancy.Sili uses a mortality table to determine the probability that he will live to a certain age. This information allows him to predict his anticipated inflation-adjusted retirement spending according to the probability that he will be living in a given year.

Approach 2:

The calculated price of an annuity equals the present value of a series of future fixed outflows during retirement.Annuities provide a series of fixed payments, either for life or for a specified period, in exchange for a lump sum payment.

Approach 3:

Monte Carlo simulation yields an overall probability of meeting retirement needs by aggregating the results of many trials of probability-based estimates of key variables, and it is a flexible approach for exploring different retirement scenarios.Monte Carlo simulation can analyze the likelihood of Sili’s portfolio meeting his anticipated retirement needs.

Jack Sun · 2022年07月18日

老师,如果主观题碰到这样的题目,是不是主要三句话:(结论1’+证据1’(原文)+解释1’)?我可以先写原文中的句子,然后根据Mortality Tables、Annuity Method、Monte Carlo Simulation定义,结合文中的内容解释一下?