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一只可爱的猪 · 2021年04月28日

辛苦老师

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201710100100000102

问题如下:


2. The arbitrage opportunity identified by Zapata can be exploited with:

选项:

A.

Strategy 1: Buy $50,000 Fund A and $50,000 Fund B; sell short $100,000 Fund C.

B.

Strategy 2: Buy $60,000 Fund A and $40,000 Fund B; sell short $100,000 Fund C.

C.

Strategy 3: Sell short $60,000 of Fund A and $40,000 of Fund B; buy $100,000 Fund C

解释:

C is correct.

The expected return and factor sensitivities of a portfolio with a 60% weight in Fund A and a 40% weight in Fund B are calculated as weighted averages of the expected returns and factor sensitivities of Funds A and B: Expected return of Portfolio 60/40 = (0.60)(0.02) + (0.40)(0.04) = 0.028, or 2.8% Factor sensitivity of Portfolio 60/40 = (0.60)(0.5) + (0.40)(1.5) = 0.9

The factor sensitivity of Portfolio 60/40 is identical to that of Fund C; therefore, this strategy results in no factor risk relative to Portfolio C. However, Fund C’s expected return of 3.0% is higher than Portfolio 60/40’s expected return of 2.8%. This difference supports Strategy 3: buying Fund C and selling short Portfolio 60/40 to exploit the arbitrage opportunity.

考点:APT模型

解析:

根据题干,AB组合符合APT模型,而C不符合,因此存在套利空间。

首先求单因子的APT模型,公式写为:E(R)=Rf+βλ,代入AB组合的已知数:

Rf+0.5λ=0.02

Rf+1.5λ=0.04,

两个方程两个未知数,得Rf=1%,λ=2%。

根据E(R)=1%+β*2%,C组合在APT模型下的预期收益率为1%+0.9*2%=2.8%,而现在表格中给出的C组合的实际收益率为3%。所以C组合在市场上的实际收益率3%是高于APT模型的预期收益率,那么投资者可以通过long C组合的实际收益率,同时short APT模型下通过AB合成的C组合,来获得无风险收益率。

因此我们要找到AB组合的权重,使得合成后新组合的factor sensitivy=C组合的factor sensitivy,列出方程:

Wa+Wb=1

0.5Wa+1.5Wb=0.9

因此Wa=60%, Wb=40%

所以通过long1个C组合,short (60%的A组合+40%的B组合),可以获得套利机会。因此符合这样的头寸和投资比例的只有C选项。

这个题目有点不太懂,究竟在考什么

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年04月29日

同学你好,

这道题考察的是APT如何做套利。

根据题干描述:“Zapata knows that Funds A and B in Exhibit 1 are well diversified. He has not previously worked with Fund C and is puzzled by the data because it is inconsistent with APT.”可知,定价有问题的是fund C(第一步)。

APT的套利原则是用两个定价合理的fund的β拼出那个定价不合理的fund的β。

所以如果列出方程就是0.5Wa+1.5Wb=0.9,0.9即C的β。而由于Wa+Wb=1,可以解方程组得到这个可以拼出C的组合里的权重分别为Wa=60%, Wb=40%(第二步)。

但此时我们不知道应该是long C还是short C,所以要看fund C的价格是被高估还是低估。

根据定价合理的fund A和fundB,代入APT的方程E(R)=Rf+βλ后解方程组,可得:

Rf+0.5λ=0.02,

Rf+1.5λ=0.04,

解出APT的形式为E(R)=1%+β*2%,这时代入C的β=0.9,可以发现当β=0.9时,合理的收益率应该为2.8%,而此时表格中给出的C的收益率为更高的3%。所以fund C的价格被低估了,应该long C(第三步)。

因为套利是基于无风险的,所以long了一个β=0.9的组合,就要同时short一个β=0.9的组合。按照第二步的计算,可知要short的就是60%的fund A和40%的fund B。就可以选择出C选项。

而此时的套利利润为3%-2.8%=0.2%(第四步,本题不涉及)

以上是APT模型套利的全过程,每一个步骤稍做修改后都可以单独出一道选择题,掌握了这道题,基本上这个题型就没啥问题了。



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