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lman · 2021年04月23日

正向MVO和反向MVO都是为了解决什么问题?

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NO.PZ201803130100000401

问题如下:

Contrast, using the information provided above, the results of a reverse optimization approach with that of the MVO approach for each of the following:
i. The asset allocation mix. Justify your response.

选项:

解释:

■ The asset allocation weights for the reverse optimization method are inputs into the optimization and are determined by the market capitalization weights of the global market portfolio.

■ The asset allocation weights for the MVO method are outputs of the optimization with the expected returns, covariances, and a risk aversion coefficient used as inputs.

■ The two methods result in significantly different asset allocation mixes.

■ In contrast to MVO, the reverse optimization method results in a higher percentage point allocation to global bonds, US bonds, and global equities as well as a lower percentage point allocation to cash and US equities.

The reverse optimization method takes the asset allocation weights as its inputs that are assumed to be optimal. These weights are calculated as the market capitalization weights of a global market portfolio. In contrast, the outputs of an MVO are the asset allocation weights, which are based on (1) expected returns and covariances that are forecasted using historical data and (2) a risk aversion coefficient. The two methods result in significantly different asset allocation mixes. In contrast to MVO, the reverse optimization method results in a 4.9, 5.5, and 10.1 higher percentage point allocation to US bonds, global equities, and global bonds, respectively, and a 6.1 and 14.4 lower percentage point allocation to cash and US equities, respectively.
The asset allocation under the two methods is as follows:



正向MVO最终是求出了一组最优的weight

反向MVO最终是用市场权重求出了implied return,然后再根据投资者观点调整这个数值。

AA最终是为了解决weight问题,反向MVO得出的结果是:市场权重,implied return。正向MVO得出的结果是历史收益和MVO计算出的权重,是吧?

2 个答案

郭静_品职助教 · 2021年04月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


可以这么理解,反向MVO是针对MVO的缺点作了一点改进,BL又在反向MVO上作了一点改进,考察的时候主要就是他们之间的不同点,比如输入变量输出变量的差异,优缺点,不一定是会把反向MVO和BL合并在一起考察的~

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

郭静_品职助教 · 2021年04月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


正向MVO是AO方法中最常用的一种,是通过将历史数据估计得出的E(R)作为输入变量,得到最优的一组权重。注意这里的收益率是用历史数据估计得到的,是MVO的输入变量,不是结果,这一点你的提问中讲错了。

反向MVO就是以市值权重作为输入变量,然后得到implied return。注意这里的市值权重是输入变量,这一点你的提问中写的也是错的。

然后再将反向MVO得到的implied return作为输入变量,加上基金经理的观点调整,做一次正向的MVO得到最优权重,这个是Black-Litterman的方法。

千万要记住MVO和反向MVO的输入变量、输出变量,你之前的理解记忆都不是全对的,别记混了~

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

lman · 2021年04月24日

谢谢老师的解答。根据你的意思,MVO最终是为了求组合中的资产权重,black-litterman最终也是为了求组合中的资产权重是吧?要是这样的话,反向MVO其实只是做了一半工作,只是用市值权重求出了implied return,最终还要再加上基金经理的观点调整,再用正向MVO求出权重,任务才算完整结束是吧?如果这样的话,为什么强化班讲义要把反向MVO和blacklitterman分列3/4条?应该把二者合并为第3条才对,是吧?课后书原版题也有把反向MVO单独考察的,其实应该把反向MVO和blacklitterman一起考察才完整是吧?

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