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yuqijeffery · 2021年04月17日

be sure如何理解成opinion？自己觉得很确定的opinion吗？

  1. CFA II
  2. Ethics

NO.PZ2016032802000035

问题如下：

Recently, Cindy issued a research report. In the report, she stated that, "based on the fact that the vast tourists visit the East Asian these years which leads the East Asian Hotel Department have grown rapidly, we expect the majority of the industry companies are able to have great profits depending on the revenue increases. We also be sure of this trend which will continue for the next five years." Did Cindy violate any Code and Standards?

选项：

A.

No.

B.

Yes, because she failed to properly distinguish the facts from opinions.

C.

Yes, Because she failed to properly identify details.

解释：

A is correct.

According to V(B) Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients, which Cindy states was just her opinion and didn’t violate any Code and Standards. She was no need to report every detail about the possible investment.

be sure如何理解成opinion？自己觉得很确定的opinion吗？

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王暄_品职助教 · 2021年04月18日

同学需要连起来看待Cindy的预测：We expected.......包括We aslo be sure of....；那么also be sure of 也是属于预测内容。只不过他们对自己的预测比较坚定。

在分析报告里说，我们认为，我们预测，我们相信，我们确信等等，是可以的，这也是在表达一种Opinion。

如果在表达这个Opinion表达时，故意说成了是事实，比如说是以Based on the fact....来总结那就错了

在我们Handbook有道题，是有个分析师去了一家矿场调研，然后现场采样，再根据他的计算，就判断矿场含有的金矿的量是500,000 ounces，然后就在报告里写了：Based on the fact the company has 500,000 ounces of gold to be mined....这就违反了。因为这是采样估算的数，不是真实的数。

所以这种判断就是看：分析师说确信某件事时，是否把他说成Fact，还是仅仅在表达观点。

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