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Louis · 2021年04月17日

为什么滚动收益的分母是近期合约价格

NO.PZ2018111302000064

问题如下:

An analyst wants to calculate the total return of a recent trade executed by a commodity fund. The fund took a fully collateralized long futures position in nearby soybean futures contracts at the quoted futures price of 755.0 (US cents/bushel). Three months later, the entire futures position was rolled when the near-term futures price was 768.0 and the further-term futures price was 773.0. During the three-month period between the time that the initial long position was taken and the rolling of the contract, the collateral earned an annualized rate of 0.40%. The fund’s three-month total return on the soybean futures trade is closest to:

选项:

A.

1.17%.

B.

1.47%.

C.

1.72%.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:大宗商品收益计算

解析:Total return由三部分构成,现货收益,滚动收益和抵押收益,分别计算这三部分然后加和即可。

现货收益=(当前价格-以前价格)/以前价格,从题目中找到对应数据现价为768,之前的价格为755,那么现货收益=(768-755)/755=1.7219%

滚动收益=(近期合约价格-远期合约价格)/近期合约价格,对应题目数据,近期合约价格为768,远期合约价格为773,那么滚动收益 =(768-773)/768=-0.6510%

抵押收益,合约期总共3个月,那么抵押收益为(3/12)*0.4%=0.1%

总收益=现货收益+滚动收益+抵押收益 = 1.7219 - 0.6510 + 0.1=1.1709%

滚动收益:成本=远期(买入远期),收入=现货价格(卖出现货),收益不应该是(现货-远期)/远期?
1 个答案
已采纳答案

韩韩_品职助教 · 2021年04月18日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,我们一般看total return都是站在持有大宗商品头寸的角度,也就是long,我们现在手上是有大宗商品的,但是这个合约快要到期了,那么我们就得把现在的合约给卖了,然后再买入一个新的合约,卖的价格就是“近期合约价格”,而买入的价格就是“远期合约价格”,roll yield主要就是看这个一卖一买的过程能带来的收益,分子是卖出价格-买入价格,分母我们是要用卖出价格,有点像是看我们基于这个卖出去roll over这个行为,能带来多少的收益,所以分母就是用卖出价格,也就是近期合约的价格。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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2024-07-09 17:53 1 · 回答

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