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金融民工阿聪 · 2021年04月11日

为什么这道题需要折到零时间点计算呢?题目中没有说要折到零时间点啊?也没有明确说明450million是现值

NO.PZ2018101501000115

问题如下:

Matt, an analyst with company M, has estimated the free cash flows of 11 million at the end of the third year. The constant growth rate of the free cash flow is 6% after Year 3 and the required rate of return is 10%. Currently, he wants to evaluate the effect of change in assumption. What`s the percentage change in the fair enterprise value of $450 million if you use a terminal growth rate of 0% rather than 6%?

选项:

A.

-46.8%

B.

-30.3%

C.

-40.3%

解释:

B is correct.

考点:Discounted Cash Flow Analysis

解析:当增长率为6%时,terminal value = 11*(1.06)/(10%-6%) = 291.5 million

      当增长率为0%时,terminal value = 11/10% = 110 million

      现值的改变量=(110-291.5)/1.13 = -136.36

      Percentage change = -136.36/450 = -30.3%

为什么这道题需要折到零时间点计算呢?题目中没有说要折到零时间点啊?也没有明确说明450million是现值

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2021年04月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这道题考查企业价值对于终值阶段增长假设改变(增长率 g 从 0% -> 6%)的敏感程度

比的是企业价值,即 fair enterprise value,所以要折现求现值,再比较,450 是现值

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