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一只可爱的猪 · 2021年04月06日

对于向下调整和低估的区别

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NO.PZ201512300100000303

问题如下:

3. In the current interest rate environment, using a required return estimate based on the short-term government bond rate and a historical equity riskpremium defined in terms of a short-term government bond rate would be expected to:

选项:

A.

bias long-term required return on equity estimates upwards.

B.

bias long-term required return on equity estimates downwards.

C.

have no effect on long-term required return on equity estimates.

解释:

A is correct.

The required return reflects the magnitude of the historical equity risk premium, which is generally higher when based on a short-term interest rate (as a result of the normal upward sloping yield curve), and the current value of the rate being used to represent the risk-free rate. The short-term rate is currently higher than the long-term rate, which will also increase the required return estimate. The short-term interest rate, however, overstates the long-term expected inflation rate. Using the short-term interest rate, estimates of the long-term required return on equity will be biased upwards.

我想知道,向下调整和有一个向下的bias,在表述上是什么样的?因为我发现我有点模糊了

upward biased

biased upward

1 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2021年04月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这里用的是bias,所以相当于是“错误地”upward,如果调整应该是要“downward”,要分清楚错误和如何调整。

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