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qythebest · 2021年04月05日

同下

NO.PZ2018111501000017

问题如下:

Raymond, a US analyst, is managing a fund with EUR-denominated assets. The USD/EUR spot rate is 1.1338, one-year forward exchange rate is 1.1369, while Raymond forecasts the expected spot rate is 1.1315. Assume the fund performance is measured in USD, the roll yield is:

选项:

A.

0.27%

B.

-0.27%

C.

-0.20%

解释:

A is correct.

考点:roll yield

解析:“Assume the fund performance is measured in USD”的意思是:衡量业绩使用的是USD,即本币是USD。

目前Raymond持有外币EUR计价的资产,将来要卖EUR,因此是short EUR forward。

short 外币EUR forward的roll yield

= F-S/S=(1.1369-1.1338)/1.1338=0.27%

将来要卖出的金额更低了,岂不是亏损?为啥是正roll yield
1 个答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2021年04月06日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好~

本题中本币是USD,持有外币为EUR的资产,那么将来是要卖出EUR计价的资产的。当前汇率是1.1338,市场预测是1.1315,是下跌的;但是我们使用forward合约的话,就会锁定在1.1369(显然1.1369>1.1338),计算roll yield=F-S/S,其中F>S (1.1369>1.1338),所以结果为正的没有问题哈。

或者换一个角度,roll yield是签订forward合约可以给我们带来的好处,现在forward合约可以帮我们锁定一个高价卖出,自然是对我们有利,从这个跟角度也可以知道roll yield为正。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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