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临江仙 · 2021年03月27日

看了别的回答,也不懂这题,求详细解答

NO.PZ2016082405000030

问题如下:

An analyst is studying the CDS spread curve for an established company. The 1-, 3- and 5-year spreads are 400 bps, 200 bps, and 150 bps, respectively. Which of the following interpretations of the data is most likely correct for the shape of the default distribution?

选项:

Default Distribution
Near-Term Slope

A.

Upward sloping
  flap slope

B.

Downward sloping
steep slope

C.

Upward sloping
steep slope

D.

Downward sloping
flat slope

解释:

C The CDS spreads indicate a downward sloping spread curve. Note that the cumulative distribution of default is always increasing regardless of the slope of the spread curve. In addition, since the short-term probability of default is relatively high, the slope in the near term of the default distribution function is relatively steep.

不懂这题考的是什么??求详细解答

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2021年03月27日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


收益前半列问的是cumulative default distribution,因为直接给了400,200,150,要是问marginal的话一看就是向下,太直接了。

而cumulative的都是向上的。

后半列问的是cumulative default distribution图形短期是陡还是缓的。

陡和缓是看变化率的,短期变化的多(400到200),就是陡的;越长期变化的越缓慢(200到150),那长期就是缓的。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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