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简敏敏 · 2021年03月14日

问一道题:NO.PZ2015120604000145 [ CFA I ]

问题如下:

Here is a table discribing sample statistics from two bonds' rate of return which are both normally distributed over the past decades. If an investor is considering whether the mean of bond A is equal to 22%,

which of the following conclusion is least appropriate (significant level=1%) ?

选项:

A.

The null hypothesis can be rejected.

B.

It is appropriate to use a two-tailed t-test.

C.

The test statistic value is 1.333.

解释:

A is correct.

The null hypothesis: H0: μ=22%.

Because the sample size is 25, which is less than 30, so it is appropriate to use the two-tailed t-test.

t24=x-μ0sn=0.26-0.220.1525=1.333

±t24 at α= 0.01= ±2.797;

Because -2.797 <1.333<+2.797, therefore, H0 cannot be rejected.

为什么不是2.58?题目不是说符合正态分布?
1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年03月14日

同学你好,

根据题干,这道题符合正态分布的是“two bonds rate of return”,这是“总体”服从正态分布的概念。

而假设检验看的是检验统计量的分布,在这道题里就是bond A return的样本均值的分布。并不是bond A return自身(也就是总体)的分布。

由于本题总体方差未知,所以检验统计量服从的是t分布。

如果sample size n>30,可以选择用z-test来近似替代t-test,但本题bond A也就是sample 1的sample size=25。所以不能用z-test。

t分布的关键值是需要根据自由度(df=25-1=24)和significance level(1%)查表求得的。即本题中的±2.797。



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