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杨木木 · 2021年02月28日

为什么用B的factor sensitivity来算投50%A+50%C的Portfolio?

NO.PZ2015121810000003

问题如下:

Assume that the following one-factor model describes the expected return for portfolios:

E(Rp)=0.10+0.12βp,1E{(R_p)}=0.10+0.12\beta_{p,1}

Also assume that all investors agree on the expected returns and factor sensitivity of the three highly diversified Portfolios A, B, and C given in the following table:

Assuming the one-factor model is correct and based on the data provided for Portfolios A, B, and C, determine if an arbitrage opportunity exists and explain how it might be exploited.

选项:

解释:

According to the one-factor model for expected returns, the portfolio should have these expected returns if they are correctly priced in terms of their risk:

Portfolio A

E(RA) = 0.10 + 0.12βA,1 = 0.10 + (0.12)(0.80) = 0.10 + 0.10 = 0.20

Portfolio B

E(RB) = 0.10 + 0.12βB,1 = 0.10 + (0.12)(1.00) = 0.10 + 0.12 = 0.22

Portfolio C

E(RC) = 0.10 + 0.12βC,1 = 0.10 + (0.12)(1.20) = 0.10 + 0.14 = 0.24

In the table below, the column for expected return shows that Portfolios A and C are correctly priced but Portfolio B offers too little expected return for its risk, 0.15 or 15%. By shorting Portfolio B (selling an overvalued portfolio) and using the proceeds to buy a portfolio 50% invested in A and 50% invested in C with a sensitivity of 1 that matches the sensitivity of B, for each monetary unit shorted (say each euro), an arbitrage profit of 0.22 -0.15 = 0.07 is earned.

请问老师,


解析中提到“ using the proceeds to buy a portfolio 50% invested in A and 50% invested in C with a sensitivity of 1 that matches the sensitivity of B


为什么用B的factor sensitivity来算投50%A+50%C的Portfolio?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年02月28日

同学你好,

这是因为①B资产的价格是不合理的;②套利必须是无风险的。

①根据题干给出的APT公式,可以算出A,B,C三者资产的合理收益率。发现A,C资产此时的收益率和用APT模型计算出来的一样,也就是收益率是合理的。

但B资产目前的收益率是0.15,APT模型计算出来合理收益率却是0.22。这就说明B资产的收益率被低估,价格被高估,也就存在套利机会。即应该卖出价格被高估的B。

②由于套利是基于无风险(β=0)的原则,所以卖出β=1的资产,就必须同时买入β=1的资产,这样才可以对冲掉β的影响。

这时就需要用定价合理的A和C拼出一个β=1的组合,经过计算后可以得到这个β=1的组合为0.5A+0.5C

杨木木 · 2021年03月01日

感谢老师的耐心讲解!

星星_品职助教 · 2021年03月01日

@杨木木 加油~