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HG · 2021年02月23日

risk tolerance的鉴定

NO.PZ2019100901000004

问题如下:

William Azarov is a portfolio manager for Westcome Investments, an asset management firm. Azarov is preparing for meetings with two of Westcome’s clients and obtains the help of Jason Boulder, a junior analyst. The first meeting is with Maglav Inc., a rapidly growing US-based technology firm with a young workforce and high employee turnover. Azarov directs Boulder to review the details of Maglav’s defined benefit (DB) pension plan. The plan is overfunded and has assets under management of $25 million. Boulder makes the following two observations:

Observation 1 Maglav’s shareholders benefit from the plan’s overfunded status.

Observation 2 The funded ratio of Maglav’s plan will decrease if employee turnover decreases.

Maglav outsources the management of the pension plan entirely to Westcome Investments. The fee structure requires Maglav to compensate Westcome with a high base fee regardless of performance. Boulder tells Azarov that outsourcing offers small institutional investors, such as Maglav’s pension plan, the following three benefits:

Benefit 1: Regulatory requirements are reduced.

Benefit 2: Conflicts of interest are eliminated from principal–agent issues.

Benefit 3: Investors have access to a wider range of investment strategies through scale benefits.

In the meeting with Maglav, Azarov describes the investment approach used by Westcome in managing the pension plan. The approach is characterized by a high allocation to alternative investments, significant active management, and a reliance on outsourcing assets to other external asset managers. Azarov also explains that Maglav’s operating results have a low correlation with pension asset returns and that the investment strategy is affected by the fact that the pension fund assets are a small portion of Maglav’s market capitalization. Azarov states that the plan is subject to the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA) and follows generally accepted accounting principles, including Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 715, Compensation—Retirement Benefits.

The risk tolerance of Maglav’s pension plan can be best characterized as being:

选项:

A.

below average.

B.

average.

C.

above average.

解释:

C is correct.

The risk tolerance for Maglav’s defined benefit plan is high and thus above average. Several factors influence the plan sponsor’s ability to assume risk. For Maglav, the overfunded status of the pension fund allows the plan to withstand more volatility, and its small size relative to the company size implies greater risk tolerance. The low correlation of Maglav’s operating results with pension asset returns also results in greater risk tolerance. Finally, the workforce characteristics imply greater risk tolerance. The younger workforce increases the duration of the plan liabilities and enables the sponsor to take on more liquidity risk. The high turnover of the workforce means fewer employees may be vested, reducing the number of employees entitled to receive defined benefit payments. All these factors contribute to an above average risk tolerance for Maglav’s defined benefit plan.

老师当时讲课说如果是overfunded的话,投资反而是保守的,那么愿意承受的risk是小的,题目中的risk tolerance是不是指的是capacity啊?如果真题出现了我们都直接像基础讲义里讲的全部当做risk capacity来处理吧?

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发亮_品职助教 · 2021年02月24日

“老师当时讲课说如果是overfunded的话,投资反而是保守的,那么愿意承受的risk是小的,题目中的risk tolerance是不是指的是capacity啊?”


Risk tolerance和风险承受能力(Capacity)是一致的。

在这里是这样,Overfunded的时候,Risk tolerance是上升的。原因是现在基金的状态是富余状态,也就是资产的金额完全够Cover负债的金额,我们还有余额,那此时我们可以加大风险承受能力,可以投资地更加激进一些来追求更高的投资回报率。


即便风险更大、可能会有一些亏损,只要我们亏损的是富余金额,资产的金额是仍然可以Cover负债的。我们养老金依然是安全的。这就是Overfunded的好处,可以让我们有能力承受更大的风险,即,Risk tolerance上升。


只不过,在Overfunded时,我们的风险承受能力会上升,我们可以选择激进地投资,也可以选择保守地投资。保守的投资就是让资产的收益率等于负债的折现率即可,即,资产的增长率等于负债的增长率。在这种情况下,当前资产PV大于负债PV,他俩的增长率也相当,我们可以知道未来期末时刻,资产也一定能够Cover负债。


真题出现的话,Overfunded的基金是Risk tolerance上升的,可以选择风险更高的投资策略。

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2022-05-02 22:42 1 · 回答

哪里有Small siza relative company Size

2020-03-04 12:19 2 · 回答

题干中哪里可以看到是比较高的turnover rate?

2020-02-28 22:05 1 · 回答

假设这家公司的确是OVERFUN但是呢,因为员工的TURNOVER降低,导致VESTING变多了以后,pension liability变大了,又或者plassets所投资的资产面临一些困境,导致net assets 大幅萎缩,那么这样的话,还能说这家公司的risk tolerance是above normal的嘛?

2020-02-23 15:27 1 · 回答