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和棋 · 2021年02月18日

请问B怎么理解

NO.PZ2018122701000036

问题如下:

Based on Basel II rules for backtesting, a penalty is given to banks that have more than four exceptions to their 1-day 99%VaR over the course of 250 trading days. The supervisor gives these penalties based on four criteria. Which of the following causes of exceptions is most likely to lead to a penalty?

选项:

A.

The bank increases its intraday trading activity.

B.

A large move in interest rates was combined with a small move in correlations.

C.

The bank’s model calculates interest rate risk based on the median duration of the bonds in the portfolio.

D.

A sudden market crisis in an emerging market leads to losses in the equity positions in that country.

解释:

C is correct.

考点 Backtesting VaR

解析 In the case of a bank that changed positions more frequently during the day, a penalty should be considered, but it is not necessarily given. In the case of bad luck, no penalty is given, as would be the case for a bank affected by unpredictable movements in rates or markets. However, when risk models are not precise enough, a penalty is typically given since model accuracy could have easily been improved.

看了之前同学提的问题和老师的回答还是没明白什么叫相关性低分散性不好,以及为什么在这种情况下不会被处罚

2 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2023年02月28日

不是所有债券的利率都变化得很大,而是只有一只债券利率变化的很大而且恰巧被银行踩到了。

监管机构不会因为一只债券的利率变化而说市场利率波动都很大(监管机构不会这样假设相关性高),所以不会对踩到这只债券霉运的银行进行处罚。

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2021年02月18日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


B选项的意思是某个利率大波动,但不是整体利率都跟着这个利率波动(correlation的变化不大,一起跟着这个利率波动correlation就是高的了)。所以这个银行单纯的是运气差了碰到单个利率的波动大导致了损失,而运气差在监管机构看来不是银行的错,所以可以不计。


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kanjani · 2023年02月27日

“correlation的变化不大,一起跟着这个利率波动correlation就是高的了”是什么意思

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