问题如下:
An analyst is studying the CDS spread curve for an established company. The 1-, 3- and 5-year spreads are 400 bps, 200 bps, and 150 bps, respectively. Which of the following interpretations of the data is most likely correct for the shape of the default distribution?
选项:
A.
B.
C.
D.
解释:
C The CDS spreads indicate a downward sloping spread curve. Note that the cumulative distribution of default is always increasing regardless of the slope of the spread curve. In addition, since the short-term probability of default is relatively high, the slope in the near term of the default distribution function is relatively steep.
Spread越来越小不是应该越来越平缓吗?