开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

Eve · 2020年12月27日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018122701000030

问题如下:

Let X be a random variable representing the daily loss of your portfolio. The "peaks over threshold" (POT) approach considers a threshold value, u, of X and the distribution of excess losses over this threshold. Which of the following statements about this application of extreme value theory is correct?

选项:

A.

To apply the POT approach, the distribution of X must be elliptical and known.

B.

If X is normally distributed, the distribution of excess losses requires the estimation of only one parameter, β, which is a positive scale parameter.

C.

To apply the POT approach, one must choose a threshold, u, which is high enough that the number of observations in excess of u is zero.

D.

As the threshold, u, increases, the distribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalized Pareto distribution.

解释:

D is correct.

考点: Extreme Value

解析: The distribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalized Pareto distribution as the threshold value u increases.

The distribution of X itself can be any of the commonly used distribution: normal, lognormal, t, etc., and will usually be known. The distribution of excess losses requires the estimation of two parameters, a positive scale parameter β and a shape or tail index parameter ξ. One must choose a threshold u that is high enough so that the theory applies but also low enough so that there are observations in excess of u.

The distribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalized Pareto distribution as the threshold value u increases.为什么这么说啊?随着u增加,可用的data不是会变少吗?还能converges to a generalized Pareto distribution吗?

1 个答案

袁园_品职助教 · 2020年12月28日

同学你好!

因为GPD是描述极值的,所以u如果太小那么选出来的值就不够极端了


  • 1

    回答
  • 0

    关注
  • 444

    浏览
相关问题

NO.PZ2018122701000030 问题如下 Let X a ranm variable representing the ily loss of your portfolio. The \"peaks over threshol" (POT) approaconsirs a thresholvalue, u, of X anthe stribution of excess losses over this threshol Whiof the following statements about this application of extreme value theory is correct? To apply the POT approach, the stribution of X must ellipticanknown. If X is normally stribute the stribution of excess losses requires the estimation of only one parameter, β, whiis a positive scale parameter. To apply the POT approach, one must choose a threshol u, whiis high enough ththe number of observations in excess of u is zero. the threshol u, increases, the stribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalizePareto stribution. is correct. 考点: Extreme Value 解析: The stribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalizePareto stribution the thresholvalue u increases. The stribution of X itself cany of the commonly usestribution: normal, lognormal, t, etc., anwill usually be known. The stribution of excess losses requires the estimation of two parameters, a positive scale parameter β ana shape or tail inx parameter ξ. One must choose a thresholu this high enough so ththe theory applies but also low enough so ththere are observations in excess of u. 老师,这个应该是什么要求呢,忘了==

2023-01-18 23:42 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018122701000030 If X is normally stribute the stribution of excess losses requires the estimation of only one parameter, β, whiis a positive scale parameter. To apply the POT approach, one must choose a threshol u, whiis high enough ththe number of observations in excess of u is zero. the threshol u, increases, the stribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalizePareto stribution. is correct. 考点: Extreme Value 解析: The stribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalizePareto stribution the thresholvalue u increases. The stribution of X itself cany of the commonly usestribution: normal, lognormal, t, etc., anwill usually known. The stribution of excess losses requires the estimation of two parameters, a positive scale parameter β ana shape or tail inx parameter ξ. One must choose a thresholu this high enough so ththe theory applies but also low enough so ththere are observations in excess of u. 不太理解B的意思。 应该有两个参数 一个是tail factor 一个是positive sclae

2022-03-13 17:03 2 · 回答

NO.PZ2018122701000030

2022-01-22 18:15 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018122701000030

2021-08-07 21:51 1 · 回答

If X is normally stribute the stribution of excess losses requires the estimation of only one parameter, β, whiis a positive scale parameter. To apply the POT approach, one must choose a threshol u, whiis high enough ththe number of observations in excess of u is zero. the threshol u, increases, the stribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalizePareto stribution. is correct. 考点: Extreme Value 解析: The stribution of excess losses over u converges to a generalizePareto stribution the thresholvalue u increases. The stribution of X itself cany of the commonly usestribution: normal, lognormal, t, etc., anwill usually known. The stribution of excess losses requires the estimation of two parameters, a positive scale parameter β ana shape or tail inx parameter ξ. One must choose a thresholu this high enough so ththe theory applies but also low enough so ththere are observations in excess of u. n增大,POT不是更趋近于广义极值理论吗?POT本身就是广义帕累托,怎么能说趋近呢?

2021-01-18 20:43 2 · 回答