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Roseline · 2020年12月25日

问一道题:NO.PZ2020033001000090

问题如下:

There are two approaches to calculate risks. In the top-down approach, a bank's portfolio is assumed to be divided into market, credit, and operational risk measures. In the bottom-up approach, interactions among various risk factors are being considered. Different approaches have different assumptions on risk diversification. According to the academic studies which are trying to evaluate the ratio of integrated risks to separate risks, which of the following statements is least accurate?

选项:

A.Top-down studies calculate this ratio to be less than one, which suggests that risk diversification is present and ignored by the separate approach. B.

Top-down studies calculate this ratio to be greater than one, which suggests that risk diversification is present and ignored by the separate approach.

C.

Bottom-up studies sometimes calculate this ratio to be less than one, but recent findings show evidence of risk compounding, which produces a ratio greater than one.

D.

Bottom-up studies suggest that risk diversification should be questioned.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:Top-down approach and Bottom-up approach

解析:

Top-down方法是把三种风险分开考虑的,在每个风险类别里面考虑了相关性。比如说,市场风险里,就考虑了利率和汇率的相关性。因此它的ratio<1,说明多样化是present存在的。

Bottom-up方法是先从每一个风险因子出发,并考虑风险因子间的相关性,最终算出整个组合的VaR。因为考虑了风险因子之间的相关性,所以它考虑到了risk diversification。Bottom-up方法里ratio大多数情况下ratio都是小于1,但有些实证也反映出,buttom-up的ratio会大于1

老师好,能否具体讲一下每一个选项?


1 个答案
已采纳答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年12月26日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


首先这个点不太重要,而且算是一些理论和实证研究的观点,所以只能是去记一下结论。

首先,topdown里对整体风险的考量一般得出的结论是integrated risks to separate risks的比率小于1,也就是风险分散化存在,所以A应该是对的。

其次,实证研究里出现了risk compounding的现象,使integrated risks to separate risks的比率大于1。由此C和D一个是这个现象,一个是由此推出的结论。

所以这题我觉得B描述是错的,应该选B,我跟教研反馈一下。

 


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