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shelly0205 · 2020年10月28日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019103001000069

问题如下:

Emma Gerber and Juliette Petit are senior and junior credit portfolio managers, respectively, for a European money management firm. They are discussing credit management strategies and preparing for an annual meeting with a major client.

One of their high-yield bond holdings is a 10-year bond issued by EKN Corporation (EKN). The bond has a price of 91.82, a modified duration of 8.47, and a spread duration of 8.47. For this bond, Petit speculates on the effects of an interest rate increase of 20 bps and, because of a change in its credit risk, an increase in the EKN bond’s credit spread of 20 bps. Petit comments that because the modified duration and credit spread duration of the EKN bond are equal, the bond’s price will not change (all else being equal) in response to the interest rate and credit spread changes.

Is Petit’s prediction correct that the EKN bond price will not change in response to the interest rate and credit spread changes, all else being equal?

选项:

A.

Yes

B.

No, the bond price should decrease

C.

No, the bond price should increase.

解释:

B is correct.

An increase in interest rates results in a decrease in the bond price. An increase in the credit spread also results in a decrease in the bond price. For the EKN bond, its modified duration shows the effect of the 20 bp increase in interest rates. The approximate percentage price change resulting from the increase in interest rates is –8.47 × 0.0020 = –1.694%. The spread duration shows the effect of the 20 bp increase in the credit spread. The approximate percentage price change resulting from the increase in the credit spread is –8.47 × 0.0020 = –1.694%. The combined effect is a total change of –3.388%, or a price decrease of roughly 3.4%.

请问我理解interest rate增加就会带来credit spread 增加,所以是总共增加20bp?没太看懂为何一共是40bp变化,谢谢

每天都想出坑的铁头娃 · 2021年01月03日

首先,EKN是个corp bond,所以其收益率可以理解为一个10 year T-bond+EKN的credit spread。这里说了两个变化,第一个是20bps interest rate,这个increase针对整个市场,就是10yr Treasury价格都变化,然后EKN自己的credit有+20bps,说明EKN更加risky 换个角度再看,整体10yr Treasury interest rate 增加20bps,说明整体经济环境向好,这个时侯公司债的违约概率是趋近于国债的呀。但这个时候你还增加了credit risk,你不降价谁降价?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月28日

interest rate和credit spread都是在分母用来折现用的,但是这两者不是一个东西,影响两者增加的也不是一种东西。市场的宏观利率的变化引起的是interest rate的变化,公司信用评级的变化影响的是credit spread的变化。

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月30日

我大概明白你指的是第一种,但是这都是国债和公司债的收益率。两者之差是反映的信用风险。

但现在这个题目明显的把利率和信用利差分开了,更应该像第三种,S和Z或者S和OAS分开的这种。要分别来看

shelly0205 · 2020年11月04日

明白了谢谢