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猫猫酱 · 2020年10月09日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091706000061 [ CFA II ]

问题如下:

Assumethat the DM country has what is considered a low-yield safe haven currency whilethe EM country has a high-yield currency whose value is more exposed tofluctuations in the global economic growth rate. All else equal, the exchangerate for the EM currency will most likely depreciate if the:


选项:

A.

long-run equilibriumvalue of the high-yield currency is revised upward 

B.

nominal yield spreadbetween the EM and DM countries increases over time 

C.

expected inflationdifferential between the EM and DM countries is revised upward 

解释:

Allelse equal, an increase in the expected inflation differential should lead todepreciation of the EM currency.

解析:

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibriumreal exchange rate + (realinterest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

根据上述公式。所以AB选项错误。

在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C选项正确。


老师,我怎么知道这道题在问即期汇率还是future spot rate?题目表述exchange rate will……看上去很像在问futures spot rate呀!

4 个答案

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好,建议截取一下何老师在哪个部分说的或者哪道题你用的是即期汇率,这里确实是长期均衡汇率


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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!


猫猫酱 · 2020年10月12日

这个公式不就是即期汇率公式吗?基础课讲到这个公式的时候,何老师就这么说的。丹丹,你真的误导我好几次了。我觉得你不回答也可以,就是别再误导我了。

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月11日

同学你好,你觉得答案中哪里应用了即期汇率呢?

猫猫酱 · 2020年10月11日

这个公式就是即期汇率吧?何老师上课说的,区别于对将来汇率的影响

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月10日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,本题是经济学题目,题干本身的high-yield 以及DM 和 EM中就按时要按照经济学的课程进行解题,需要用的是当前市场的real interest rate以及equilibrium exchange rate是长期均衡的利率。


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!


猫猫酱 · 2020年10月11日

老师,我还是不太明白,我觉得这道题没有哪里显示了文的即期汇率

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月09日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,熟记公式就好,公式不涉及远期利率。这也是咱们老师让咱们平时做题时分析是哪个考点,然后快速利用公式解题的作用


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!


猫猫酱 · 2020年10月09日

可是这道题哪里透露出是即期公式这个考点了呢?请老师指出?

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