问题如下:
In foreign exchange market, it is expected that the Indian rupee (INR) is depreciated relative to US dollar (USD), and the volatility of exchange rate is going to increase. To exploit the currency opportunity, the most appropriate trading strategy is to:
选项:
A.short strangle.
B.buy a put option on INR/USD
C.long NDF position on INR/USD.
解释:
C is correct.
考点:currency management for emerging market currencies.
解析:Strangle是out-of-money call & put组成的。当volatility增加,应该long strangle而不是short,A错。INR相对于USD贬值,说明INR贬值,USD增值,因此应当buy a call option on INR/USD,B错。
NDF是non-deliverable forward的缩写,本质上是一种forward,是针对于新兴市场国家货币的一种特殊的远期合约。因为新兴市场国家往往会进行外汇管制,流通的货币量太少,难以实现实物交割,所以NDF采用了非实物交割的形式,也就是直接结算差价。由于INR贬值,USD增值,应该long INR/USD forward,所以C正确。
老师,关于NDF,我有一点不理解。这个forward是用spot rate结算的,意思是不需要在forward里面约定forward price吗?
如果不需要约定,那既然用spot rate结算,那何必还要签订这个forward contract呢?难道只是为了约定未来某个时间换汇?
抱歉,希望我描述清楚了我的疑惑。。。