问题如下:
A bond portfolio has 950million in asset and a probability of default of 0.7% with 0% recovery rate. what is the difference between the 99% VaR and 99% expected shortfall ?
选项:
A. The 99%VaR and the 99% expected shorfall both equal 0.
B. The 99%VaR equals $950 million, while the 99% expected shortfall euquals 665million.
C. The 99% VaR equals 0, while the expected shortfall equals $665 million.
D. The 99%VaR and the 99% expected shorfall both equal 950million.
解释:
C is correct.
考点:VaR和ES度量
解析:损失概率为0.7%时,位于99%VaR的尾部,所以VaR的1%的位置显示的风险值为0,但是尾部的70%都是损失部分,也就是950million的损失。所以expected shortfall等于950million*70%=665million.
看了之前的回答,还是不明白为什么99%VaR是0。这是不是只有在correlation为1情况下才成立?例如要是假设950mil里面由1000笔贷款组成,贷款之间违约相互独立的话,99%VaR就不是0了吧?